NI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | +0.7% | 2.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 1.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -0.1% | 2.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +1.5% | -3.5% | -3.6% | -2.1% | -2.9% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +1.4% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.9% | +1.1% | -0.2% | +2.6% | +6.1% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -3.2% | +2.6% | -2.1% | +1.0% | +3.9% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +7.1% | +0.4% | -2.5% | +2.0% | -3.6% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.90 | 0.98 | +8.7% | -1.7% | +2.8% | -6.4% | -3.0% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.3% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +3.0% | +1.8% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +24.4% | +0.9% | +2.1% | +0.1% | +8.4% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +26.7% | +1.4% | +0.5% | +2.4% | +6.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.7% | -1.3% | -1.1% | +1.4% | -1.5% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 0.53 | 0.53 | +0.9% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -1.5% | +3.2% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +27.5% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -1.7% | +3.1% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +4.0% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -2.6% | -3.4% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.0% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +2.7% | -4.8% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.6% | +0.9% | +2.4% | -2.8% | -5.9% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -4.3% | -0.9% | -5.9% | +5.7% | +13.5% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -0.4% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +0.5% | -1.8% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.2% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +0.0% | +5.9% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.5% | -0.2% | -0.5% | +3.5% | +8.3% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +14.7% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +0.1% | -0.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.