NMR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +1.4% | 4.3% | 75% |
| Day 2 | -1.9% | -1.6% | 1.4% | 12% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.3% | 2.6% | 62% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | -0.1% | 5.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.23 | 0.30 | +31.6% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +2.7% | +4.7% |
| 2026-04-24 miss | 0.21 | 0.16 | -25.7% | -3.3% | -4.8% | -0.8% | +2.5% |
| 2026-01-30 miss | 0.24 | 0.20 | -14.5% | -2.8% | -4.6% | +2.8% | -8.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +19.0% | +1.6% | +1.8% | -3.2% | +6.0% |
| 2025-07-28 miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -5.9% | +3.6% | +4.6% | -3.0% | +3.3% |
| 2025-04-25 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -5.8% | +1.8% | +1.4% | -3.8% | +6.9% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +57.3% | +2.9% | +8.0% | -6.3% | -6.7% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 0.14 | 0.22 | +53.0% | +2.7% | +1.4% | +11.4% | +19.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.