NOVT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -2.5% | 7.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.8% | 3.6% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +1.1% | 5.3% | 65% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.1% | 8.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +7.2% | +10.7% | +6.7% | +2.4% | -9.2% |
| 2026-05-11 beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +4.3% | +7.2% | +13.7% | -7.3% | +2.0% |
| 2026-02-23 beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +3.4% | +4.4% | -3.5% | +0.5% | -14.4% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.82 | 0.87 | +6.5% | -4.0% | -4.8% | -17.5% | -9.2% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.6% | -5.8% | -6.7% | +4.7% | -0.3% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.67 | 0.74 | +9.9% | -17.4% | -1.9% | +12.9% | +7.3% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.5% | +1.2% | +7.2% | -5.7% | -8.8% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 0.85 | 0.85 | -0.4% | -8.3% | -5.5% | +6.1% | +1.0% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.3% | +0.0% | +8.7% | +3.9% | +1.5% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.58 | 0.74 | +28.3% | -1.9% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +0.4% |
| 2024-02-28 miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -1.6% | +0.7% | +6.4% | +3.9% | +4.4% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.74 | 0.85 | +14.3% | -6.1% | -13.5% | +12.7% | +26.5% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.73 | 0.80 | +9.6% | -6.2% | -11.4% | +0.6% | +5.1% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +15.0% | -1.1% | -1.5% | +2.6% | +6.3% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +4.2% | -1.2% | -8.5% | +4.4% | +8.2% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.1% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +10.5% | +3.4% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.3% | +1.1% | -3.0% | +6.8% | -10.9% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 0.63 | 0.73 | +15.9% | +2.2% | +2.8% | +5.3% | +1.1% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | 0.64 | 0.67 | +4.3% | -1.2% | -4.6% | -0.1% | +9.4% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | 0.60 | 0.75 | +25.5% | +0.7% | -4.9% | -0.9% | -0.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.