NUE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.4% | +3.8% | 4.9% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.1% | 3.5% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.7% | 2.1% | 65% |
| 5-day | +3.7% | +3.9% | 7.6% | 75% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 4.53 | 4.84 | +6.9% | +2.5% | +7.2% | +3.2% | -4.8% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 2.82 | 3.23 | +14.7% | +2.4% | +4.7% | +3.1% | +10.7% |
| 2026-01-26 miss | 1.81 | 1.73 | -4.4% | -2.9% | -2.3% | +7.4% | +1.2% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 2.17 | 2.63 | +21.3% | +1.4% | +5.4% | -5.1% | +4.7% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 2.64 | 2.65 | +0.3% | -6.8% | -2.7% | -0.8% | +6.9% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 0.66 | 0.77 | +16.9% | -1.3% | +1.9% | -1.6% | -8.3% |
| 2025-01-27 beat | 0.62 | 1.22 | +97.0% | +0.0% | +3.8% | +3.4% | +6.5% |
| 2024-10-21 beat | 1.41 | 1.49 | +5.5% | -1.7% | -6.5% | +0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | 2.41 | 2.68 | +11.3% | -1.7% | -1.1% | -1.3% | -9.3% |
| 2024-04-22 miss | 3.62 | 3.46 | -4.5% | -7.3% | -8.9% | -3.5% | -2.0% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 2.83 | 3.16 | +11.6% | +0.8% | +6.9% | -4.0% | +1.8% |
| 2023-10-23 beat | 4.23 | 4.57 | +8.0% | +2.0% | +4.8% | +0.4% | +7.0% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 5.57 | 5.81 | +4.3% | -1.6% | +3.7% | +0.1% | -3.4% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 3.89 | 4.45 | +14.4% | +2.0% | +5.5% | -4.8% | -11.0% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 4.30 | 4.89 | +13.8% | +2.1% | +8.4% | +4.0% | -3.3% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 6.53 | 6.50 | -0.5% | -3.7% | +2.5% | +8.5% | +13.7% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 8.76 | 9.67 | +10.4% | +4.5% | +9.1% | +1.5% | +7.5% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 7.34 | 7.67 | +4.5% | +1.3% | +3.7% | -8.5% | -31.7% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 7.85 | 8.04 | +2.4% | +4.5% | +4.0% | +16.0% | +36.1% |
| 2021-10-21 miss | 7.42 | 7.28 | -1.9% | -4.7% | -2.9% | +7.2% | +10.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.