OCFC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -1.3% | 3.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | +0.4% | 6.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.3% | -3.1% | -1.7% | +0.6% | -2.4% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +9.8% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +12.3% | +1.9% | -3.7% | +1.5% | +1.2% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +1.1% | +0.9% | -5.9% | +1.6% | +0.1% |
| 2025-07-24 miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -7.0% | -2.8% | -2.6% | -6.1% | +3.8% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.4% | -2.1% | +0.3% | +4.0% | +1.6% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.7% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -4.5% | -6.0% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.2% | -2.6% | -1.8% | -7.4% | +6.4% |
| 2024-07-18 miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -8.1% | -6.5% | -4.8% | +6.7% | -4.5% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.3% | +0.5% | +4.0% | +1.3% | +3.8% |
| 2024-01-18 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +5.7% | +3.1% | +6.2% | +3.3% | -11.9% |
| 2023-10-19 miss | 0.35 | 0.32 | -9.3% | +1.4% | -3.5% | -6.7% | +6.0% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.1% | +0.0% | -3.2% | +8.4% | -1.7% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 0.64 | 0.55 | -13.9% | -9.2% | -7.5% | -1.7% | -9.8% |
| 2023-01-19 beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +7.8% | +9.4% | +7.8% | +4.1% | +8.7% |
| 2022-10-24 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.4% | -1.7% | +0.9% | +4.4% | +7.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +7.0% | +0.9% | -0.5% | +1.5% | -4.2% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +6.2% | -1.0% | +1.0% | +1.0% | +7.7% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.4% | +4.7% | +2.1% | -0.2% | -4.4% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.7% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -0.6% | -7.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.