ONL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -0.2% | 6.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.1% | -0.8% | 1.5% | 25% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.9% | 2.1% | 62% |
| 5-day | -1.2% | +0.5% | 10.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | -0.11 | -0.06 | +42.8% | +7.3% | +8.5% | +1.8% | -5.7% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.12 | -0.06 | +51.2% | -0.7% | +1.4% | +0.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | -0.13 | -0.07 | +49.0% | -4.7% | -3.9% | -5.3% | -9.0% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | -0.16 | -0.94 | -487.5% | -1.0% | +0.2% | +6.5% | +0.9% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +12.0% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -8.5% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | -0.15 | -0.12 | +17.4% | -1.7% | -2.7% | -2.8% | -3.3% |
| 2022-03-24 beat | -0.19 | 0.01 | +103.3% | -15.9% | -15.9% | -5.4% | -10.9% |
| 2021-12-02 beat | -0.19 | 30.46 | +16131.6% | -0.6% | +1.6% | +5.4% | +4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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