OZK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -1.6% | 4.4% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +1.4% | 2.3% | 75% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.8% | 1.7% | 35% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | -0.8% | 6.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 beat | 1.48 | 1.49 | +0.9% | +0.0% | -1.3% | +1.4% | -2.6% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 1.43 | 1.44 | +0.9% | -1.1% | -2.1% | +0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2026-01-20 miss | 1.55 | 1.53 | -1.3% | -2.5% | +0.1% | -2.2% | +4.2% |
| 2025-10-15 miss | 1.66 | 1.59 | -4.3% | -0.6% | -6.9% | -4.1% | -6.2% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 1.53 | 1.58 | +3.4% | +2.1% | +0.1% | -0.9% | -4.6% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 1.40 | 1.47 | +4.8% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +8.4% | +19.3% |
| 2025-01-16 beat | 1.44 | 1.56 | +8.2% | +5.8% | +9.7% | +2.9% | +1.5% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 1.54 | 1.55 | +0.8% | +0.5% | -4.5% | -2.5% | +8.0% |
| 2024-07-17 miss | 1.52 | 1.52 | -0.0% | -2.0% | -4.0% | +2.2% | -6.8% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 1.46 | 1.51 | +3.3% | +2.1% | +4.7% | +5.0% | +10.7% |
| 2024-01-18 beat | 1.50 | 1.57 | +5.0% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +1.9% | -12.0% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 1.45 | 1.49 | +2.7% | +8.5% | +0.6% | -1.2% | +17.3% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 1.43 | 1.47 | +3.0% | +0.4% | -6.3% | +4.9% | -4.6% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 1.38 | 1.41 | +1.9% | +2.3% | -4.6% | +0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2023-01-19 beat | 1.30 | 1.34 | +2.8% | +3.6% | +7.4% | +3.9% | +7.6% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 1.17 | 1.08 | -7.5% | -3.3% | -3.1% | +7.2% | +15.4% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 1.02 | 1.10 | +7.8% | -0.8% | -1.8% | +3.5% | +7.9% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 0.95 | 1.02 | +7.8% | -0.1% | -1.8% | -5.7% | -4.5% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.97 | 1.17 | +20.3% | +4.6% | +1.9% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.96 | 1.00 | +4.1% | +0.0% | -2.0% | +0.1% | +5.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.