PAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +1.1% | 10.0% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.8% | 8.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +1.7% | +1.9% | 3.8% | 73% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +3.2% | 12.0% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +47.9% | +8.1% | +4.0% | +7.0% | +3.3% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +61.3% | +0.1% | -3.9% | +2.1% | -6.0% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +90.9% | -12.0% | -27.0% | +17.3% | -21.7% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | -0.02 | 0.06 | +380.0% | +11.2% | +16.6% | +0.6% | -8.1% |
| 2025-08-08 | — | 0.03 | — | -3.3% | -19.5% | +11.1% | +0.3% |
| 2025-05-09 beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +76.7% | -3.1% | +3.7% | +7.9% | +2.1% |
| 2025-02-28 beat | -0.08 | — | +100.0% | +1.7% | +13.2% | -6.5% | -10.7% |
| 2024-11-08 miss | -0.09 | -0.09 | -1.6% | +1.7% | +11.6% | -2.6% | +4.1% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -0.17 | -0.23 | -38.8% | +3.2% | +10.3% | +6.6% | +6.5% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | -0.30 | -0.36 | -20.6% | -9.5% | -7.3% | +9.3% | +9.8% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | -0.26 | -0.33 | -26.2% | -5.9% | -4.2% | -4.5% | +3.6% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | -0.36 | -0.21 | +41.7% | +6.3% | +9.3% | +9.2% | +13.5% |
| 2023-08-09 miss | -0.34 | -0.52 | -52.0% | -9.7% | -6.6% | +13.4% | +29.2% |
| 2023-05-10 miss | -0.36 | -0.46 | -29.0% | -6.3% | -2.6% | +18.8% | +27.7% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | -0.44 | -0.26 | +41.6% | -0.4% | +1.3% | +2.6% | -5.3% |
| 2022-11-09 miss | -0.41 | -0.44 | -7.3% | -0.2% | -11.6% | +22.6% | +12.1% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | -0.36 | -0.36 | +1.4% | +3.5% | -11.5% | +1.9% | -14.0% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | -0.46 | -0.26 | +43.0% | -1.6% | +10.3% | +4.5% | +11.1% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | -0.40 | -0.36 | +11.1% | +0.7% | -2.8% | -3.2% | +0.3% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | -0.38 | -0.36 | +4.6% | +12.6% | +3.8% | -2.8% | -19.1% |
| 2021-08-09 miss | -0.26 | -0.36 | -40.6% | -1.2% | +2.3% | -10.5% | +9.7% |
| 2021-05-10 miss | -0.22 | -0.34 | -57.4% | -10.1% | -9.0% | -8.8% | -4.2% |
| 2021-03-15 miss | -0.15 | -0.37 | -150.0% | +5.9% | +0.8% | +1.5% | +7.4% |
| 2020-11-06 beat | -0.23 | -0.15 | +36.2% | +5.4% | +1.6% | +11.1% | +33.7% |
| 2020-08-07 beat | -0.33 | -0.23 | +31.1% | -4.1% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +9.6% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | -0.23 | -0.28 | -21.7% | +32.7% | +6.8% | -0.5% | +28.5% |
| 2020-03-12 miss | -0.20 | -0.27 | -35.0% | +12.0% | +4.0% | -30.3% | -8.0% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | -0.23 | -0.26 | -10.6% | +3.9% | +14.8% | +3.7% | +1.5% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | -0.11 | -0.18 | -68.7% | -5.1% | -7.2% | -4.4% | -2.0% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +15.4% | -3.9% | -5.0% | +1.9% | +12.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.