PARA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.2% | -0.7% | 8.6% | 10% |
| Day 2 | -2.6% | +0.0% | 6.3% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -1.3% | -0.2% | 5.3% | 20% |
| 5-day | -8.5% | -0.2% | 14.7% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 beat | -2.92 | -2.06 | +29.6% | -4.7% | -14.7% | -17.2% | — |
| 2026-05-15 miss | -5.00 | -5.14 | -2.7% | -9.9% | -33.7% | -19.7% | -35.2% |
| 2025-11-14 beat | -26.60 | 61.06 | +329.5% | -5.5% | -11.6% | -7.8% | -11.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.43 | — | — | -2.8% | -2.2% | -17.0% | -27.8% |
| 2025-08-14 miss | -23.90 | -66.87 | -179.8% | +0.5% | -7.8% | -16.3% | -42.5% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | -24.00 | -21.96 | +8.5% | -1.0% | -10.9% | +23.7% | -25.5% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | -1600.00 | -337.76 | +78.9% | +0.0% | -13.1% | -2.8% | -17.6% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | -900.00 | -171.16 | +81.0% | -7.2% | -10.8% | -10.7% | -20.8% |
| 2024-08-14 miss | -1300.00 | -1670.00 | -28.5% | -2.5% | -1.7% | +12.9% | -37.1% |
| 2024-04-29 miss | -1500.00 | -1610.00 | -7.3% | -2.3% | +2.8% | -22.4% | -50.3% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | — | 0.04 | +2172.5% | -1.5% | -1.1% | +3.3% | -25.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.10 | 0.30 | +191.1% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | -0.02 | 0.10 | +670.5% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.18 | 0.09 | -49.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 0.23 | 0.08 | -65.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.9% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.44 | 0.39 | -10.8% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +14.7% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2022-02-15 miss | 0.44 | 0.26 | -41.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.76 | 0.76 | +0.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.