PARA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | +0.2% | 5.8% | 65% |
| Day 2 | -1.1% | -0.2% | 3.9% | 16% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.6% | 3.3% | 65% |
| 5-day | -3.0% | +0.3% | 9.7% | 71% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 beat | -2.92 | -2.06 | +29.6% | -4.7% | -14.7% | -17.2% | — |
| 2026-05-15 miss | -5.00 | -5.14 | -2.7% | -9.9% | -33.7% | -19.7% | -35.2% |
| 2025-11-14 beat | -26.60 | 61.06 | +329.5% | -5.5% | -11.6% | -7.8% | -11.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.43 | — | — | -2.8% | -2.2% | -17.0% | -27.8% |
| 2025-08-14 miss | -23.90 | -66.87 | -179.8% | +0.5% | -7.8% | -16.3% | -42.5% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | -24.00 | -21.96 | +8.5% | -1.0% | -10.9% | +23.7% | -25.5% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | -1600.00 | -337.76 | +78.9% | +0.0% | -13.1% | -2.8% | -17.6% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | -900.00 | -171.16 | +81.0% | -7.2% | -10.8% | -10.7% | -20.8% |
| 2024-08-14 miss | -1300.00 | -1670.00 | -28.5% | -2.5% | -1.7% | +12.9% | -37.1% |
| 2024-04-29 miss | -1500.00 | -1610.00 | -7.3% | -2.3% | +2.8% | -22.4% | -50.3% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | — | 0.04 | +2172.5% | -1.5% | -1.1% | +3.3% | -25.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.10 | 0.30 | +191.1% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | -0.02 | 0.10 | +670.5% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.18 | 0.09 | -49.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 0.23 | 0.08 | -65.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.9% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.44 | 0.39 | -10.8% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +14.7% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2022-02-15 miss | 0.44 | 0.26 | -41.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.76 | 0.76 | +0.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.99 | 0.97 | -2.3% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 1.22 | 1.52 | +24.6% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +3.2% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -2.3% | -4.4% |
| 2020-11-06 beat | 0.80 | 0.91 | +14.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.92 | 1.25 | +36.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.95 | 1.13 | +19.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 2020-02-20 miss | 1.40 | 0.97 | -30.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 2019-11-12 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +3.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 1.13 | 1.16 | +2.8% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.3% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2019-02-14 miss | 1.53 | 1.50 | -1.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 1.21 | 1.24 | +2.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +1.3% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 1.18 | 1.34 | +13.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 1.14 | 1.15 | +1.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2017-11-02 miss | 1.06 | 1.04 | -2.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2017-08-07 miss | 0.97 | 0.97 | -0.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +12.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2017-02-15 beat | 1.09 | 1.11 | +2.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 0.98 | 1.05 | +7.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.86 | 0.93 | +8.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2016-05-03 beat | 0.94 | 1.02 | +8.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2016-02-11 beat | 0.92 | 0.92 | +0.4% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2015-11-03 beat | 0.80 | 0.88 | +9.3% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2015-08-05 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +4.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | 0.72 | 0.72 | +0.1% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 0.75 | 0.79 | +5.8% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2014-02-12 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2013-11-06 miss | 0.76 | 0.76 | -0.2% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2013-07-31 beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +5.4% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2013-05-01 beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +8.6% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2013-02-14 miss | 0.69 | 0.64 | -7.5% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2012-11-07 beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +6.5% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | 0.59 | 0.65 | +10.3% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +20.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2012-02-15 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +6.5% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2011-11-03 beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +7.7% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.