PMN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.1% | +0.0% | 5.0% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.9% | 6.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.8% | 5.5% | 30% |
| 5-day | -8.1% | -5.7% | 11.7% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | -1.90 | -1.78 | +6.2% | +3.3% | +0.5% | -2.4% | -13.3% |
| 2026-03-25 miss | -6.71 | -30.05 | -348.1% | +0.1% | -9.1% | -18.0% | -29.1% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | -9.99 | -8.40 | +15.9% | +2.5% | +2.5% | +2.4% | -12.3% |
| 2025-08-13 miss | -6.04 | -9.98 | -65.3% | -2.9% | +0.0% | -25.7% | -37.1% |
| 2025-08-07 | -0.22 | — | — | +0.0% | -6.8% | +14.5% | -20.0% |
| 2025-05-12 miss | -4.30 | -7.35 | -71.0% | +18.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +8.0% |
| 2025-03-31 beat | -5.01 | -0.72 | +85.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -17.1% | -11.4% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | -2.42 | 10.86 | +547.9% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -3.0% | -8.1% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | -4.85 | -4.47 | +7.9% | -9.4% | -11.5% | +0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | -6.87 | -6.48 | +5.7% | +0.5% | -7.2% | -2.2% | -10.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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