QS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | -3.2% | 9.9% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +2.1% | +1.1% | 7.1% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -1.8% | -3.1% | 5.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -4.4% | -3.8% | 15.4% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +10.2% | -6.0% | -12.9% | +2.2% | +16.9% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | -0.16 | -0.16 | +1.1% | +32.1% | +1.4% | -1.6% | +10.7% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | -0.17 | -0.17 | +1.4% | -7.3% | -12.0% | -11.4% | -11.3% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | -0.20 | -0.18 | +9.0% | +6.1% | +8.0% | +7.7% | -21.8% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | -0.18 | -0.20 | -8.3% | -2.7% | -1.6% | -31.9% | -35.4% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -10.3% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -1.0% | +0.3% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | -0.21 | -0.22 | -5.6% | +2.3% | +7.0% | +0.2% | -13.7% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | -0.19 | -0.23 | -22.3% | +18.3% | +25.5% | -20.8% | -20.6% |
| 2024-07-24 miss | -0.18 | -0.25 | -35.1% | -16.4% | -7.8% | -11.5% | -11.3% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | -0.19 | -0.19 | -2.9% | -4.7% | -6.9% | +9.4% | +13.7% |
| 2024-02-14 miss | -0.20 | -0.23 | -16.0% | -2.9% | -5.9% | -16.3% | -21.1% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | -0.33 | -0.23 | +29.4% | -2.0% | -7.0% | +8.8% | +5.7% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | -0.19 | -0.26 | -35.1% | +9.0% | +14.3% | -17.7% | -35.5% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | -0.19 | -0.24 | -26.3% | +1.5% | -0.6% | -15.5% | -12.5% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | -0.24 | -0.24 | +2.7% | -12.2% | -17.1% | -7.4% | -22.9% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | -0.20 | -0.27 | -32.1% | +2.4% | -6.9% | +0.2% | -18.0% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | -0.17 | -0.22 | -29.9% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +16.4% | +3.8% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | -0.15 | -0.21 | -42.3% | +3.8% | +2.9% | +11.6% | -17.6% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | -0.11 | -0.16 | -41.0% | -2.0% | -4.9% | -5.0% | +4.5% |
| 2021-10-26 miss | -0.10 | -0.13 | -31.8% | -1.7% | -8.5% | +35.0% | +30.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.