ROAD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.4% | +3.2% | 8.9% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 4.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 3.0% | 55% |
| 5-day | +4.5% | +5.5% | 12.3% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 beat | 1.01 | 1.08 | +6.8% | +10.0% | +19.5% | +1.5% | -13.9% |
| 2026-05-08 beat | -0.03 | 0.18 | +774.9% | +8.7% | +6.9% | -16.0% | -22.1% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.31 | 0.47 | +53.4% | -3.7% | +11.2% | +5.6% | -3.3% |
| 2025-11-20 miss | 1.08 | 1.06 | -1.6% | -3.9% | -3.6% | +8.5% | +11.6% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.82 | 0.81 | -1.4% | +9.1% | +11.9% | +7.7% | +18.1% |
| 2025-05-09 beat | -0.05 | 0.08 | +243.1% | +4.9% | +3.5% | +5.6% | +6.9% |
| 2025-02-07 beat | 0.15 | 0.25 | +68.5% | +8.4% | +2.7% | -10.6% | -21.2% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +0.7% | -1.4% | +6.1% | +4.9% | -6.1% |
| 2024-08-09 beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +8.3% | +6.3% | +1.8% | +4.6% | +0.0% |
| 2024-05-10 miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -50.0% | +6.1% | +3.0% | +0.0% | -3.0% |
| 2024-02-09 beat | 0.13 | 0.19 | +46.1% | -2.9% | -7.0% | +0.7% | +9.2% |
| 2023-11-29 beat | 0.51 | 0.59 | +14.7% | +6.7% | -1.3% | -0.7% | +4.7% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +22.1% | +0.3% | +11.4% | +1.8% | +5.7% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | -0.18 | -0.11 | +38.9% | +6.7% | +14.4% | +2.8% | +10.9% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +50.0% | -2.5% | -2.1% | +10.0% | -0.8% |
| 2022-11-22 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +2.5% | +0.9% | -16.1% | +4.8% | -1.3% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +55.4% | +2.4% | +14.1% | +6.8% | +9.8% |
| 2022-05-06 miss | -0.06 | -0.18 | -188.0% | -2.0% | -7.9% | -10.1% | +0.8% |
| 2022-02-04 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +12.8% | +3.5% | +4.4% | -2.2% | -0.8% |
| 2021-11-23 miss | 0.40 | 0.17 | -58.3% | -2.4% | -5.3% | -6.3% | -20.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.