SFM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +6.5% | 12.3% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +1.1% | 2.7% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.9% | 2.0% | 55% |
| 5-day | +4.0% | +8.0% | 13.5% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.34 | 1.37 | +2.0% | +10.6% | +9.7% | +0.4% | -6.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.67 | 1.71 | +2.1% | +6.2% | +15.1% | -1.0% | -2.6% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.89 | 0.92 | +3.8% | +0.2% | -0.5% | +9.5% | +16.9% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.17 | 1.22 | +4.6% | -22.1% | -26.1% | +0.8% | +11.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.23 | 1.35 | +9.4% | -3.5% | -4.1% | -0.2% | -7.3% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.55 | 1.81 | +17.1% | -3.4% | +0.4% | -7.9% | +4.6% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.74 | 0.79 | +6.7% | -5.0% | -15.6% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.78 | 0.91 | +17.2% | +13.7% | +8.1% | +9.5% | +17.5% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.78 | 0.94 | +21.0% | +20.6% | +13.3% | -0.9% | +6.3% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.01 | 1.12 | +11.0% | +11.1% | +12.0% | +3.6% | +9.5% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +7.7% | +6.3% | +10.9% | +6.3% | +6.4% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +2.7% | -4.7% | -3.1% | -3.2% | +2.5% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.6% | -3.9% | -2.3% | +0.3% | +9.1% |
| 2023-05-01 miss | 0.85 | 0.73 | -14.0% | +11.8% | +8.1% | -4.2% | -13.4% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +13.1% | +10.2% | +13.0% | -3.7% | +0.7% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 0.50 | 0.61 | +21.2% | +7.8% | +12.2% | +5.2% | +4.9% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +10.9% | +9.7% | +13.5% | -5.6% | -6.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.72 | 0.79 | +9.7% | -13.9% | -24.2% | +3.1% | +14.5% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.7% | +5.3% | +5.0% | +15.2% | +10.9% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.39 | 0.56 | +43.6% | +2.4% | +4.7% | +0.0% | +10.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.