SHEL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.9% | 2.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.9% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | +0.2% | 3.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 3.18 | 3.52 | +10.6% | +1.9% | +2.5% | -1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 2.21 | 2.44 | +10.2% | -1.7% | -3.4% | +0.3% | +2.9% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 1.29 | 1.14 | -11.8% | -3.2% | -5.3% | +4.8% | +14.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.74 | 1.86 | +7.1% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -0.6% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.27 | 1.44 | +13.7% | -0.2% | +0.7% | -1.2% | +2.3% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 1.61 | 1.84 | +14.4% | +3.6% | +2.8% | -0.7% | +1.8% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 1.49 | 1.20 | -19.6% | +1.9% | +2.9% | -0.7% | -0.3% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.70 | 1.92 | +12.8% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +1.6% | -4.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.78 | 1.98 | +11.2% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -1.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.92 | 2.40 | +25.2% | +1.6% | +1.6% | +2.0% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.86 | 2.22 | +19.1% | +2.1% | +1.9% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 1.92 | 1.86 | -3.1% | +3.1% | +4.8% | -5.5% | -5.3% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.61 | 1.50 | -6.9% | -1.6% | -2.9% | -0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 2.12 | 2.78 | +31.4% | +1.4% | +1.4% | +1.7% | -2.7% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 2.31 | 2.60 | +12.3% | +2.2% | -1.2% | +3.7% | +8.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 2.40 | 2.60 | +8.4% | +4.8% | +5.1% | -0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 3.00 | 3.08 | +2.8% | +1.6% | +0.1% | -0.8% | +6.6% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 2.19 | 2.40 | +9.6% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -3.0% | +5.6% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.34 | 1.66 | +23.4% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +1.1% | -4.4% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 1.42 | 1.06 | -25.3% | -3.9% | -5.1% | -5.4% | -10.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.