SHW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +1.1% | 5.1% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.4% | 2.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 1.1% | 65% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +1.1% | 5.0% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 3.52 | 3.70 | +5.1% | +6.2% | +8.3% | +2.1% | -1.6% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.27 | 2.35 | +3.6% | +1.8% | -3.5% | -3.6% | -5.9% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.16 | 2.23 | +3.1% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +0.4% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 3.44 | 3.59 | +4.4% | +6.1% | +5.5% | -3.2% | -3.1% |
| 2025-07-22 miss | 3.81 | 3.38 | -11.2% | -2.9% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +8.0% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 2.16 | 2.25 | +4.1% | +3.9% | +4.8% | +1.3% | +2.2% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.06 | 2.09 | +1.6% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -0.1% | -2.4% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | 3.54 | 3.37 | -4.8% | -0.7% | -5.3% | +0.1% | +2.8% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 3.49 | 3.70 | +6.1% | +5.2% | +6.9% | +2.1% | +3.9% |
| 2024-04-23 miss | 2.22 | 2.17 | -2.2% | -3.7% | -2.2% | -0.9% | +1.6% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 1.80 | 1.81 | +0.6% | -2.0% | +0.9% | +1.7% | +6.1% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 2.78 | 3.20 | +15.1% | +2.7% | -1.5% | +1.4% | +16.9% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 2.69 | 3.29 | +22.3% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +1.5% | -1.4% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.79 | 2.04 | +14.0% | +0.6% | -0.7% | -1.2% | -2.6% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 1.85 | 1.89 | +2.0% | -10.6% | -8.9% | +9.0% | -1.4% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.57 | 2.83 | +10.3% | +5.8% | +3.6% | +2.1% | +13.5% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 2.74 | 2.41 | -12.0% | -11.1% | -8.8% | +3.2% | +5.4% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.53 | 1.61 | +4.9% | +8.4% | +9.4% | -0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 1.35 | 1.34 | -0.8% | -0.8% | -3.3% | +1.6% | -7.1% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 2.05 | 2.09 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +2.0% | -1.0% | +3.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.