SIGI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.7% | -2.1% | 6.7% | 15% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 1.8% | 75% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.6% | 1.7% | 55% |
| 5-day | -2.8% | -3.8% | 6.2% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 1.67 | 1.95 | +16.9% | -2.0% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -3.8% |
| 2026-04-22 miss | 1.82 | 1.69 | -7.1% | +2.7% | +8.7% | -0.5% | +7.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.18 | 2.57 | +17.7% | +0.6% | +0.0% | +7.2% | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 1.99 | 1.75 | -11.9% | -2.8% | -5.7% | -0.7% | +1.8% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 1.52 | 1.31 | -13.6% | -8.2% | -17.0% | +4.0% | +4.9% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 1.86 | 1.76 | -5.4% | -0.2% | -1.8% | -2.7% | -3.3% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 1.99 | 1.62 | -18.6% | -5.8% | -12.6% | +4.3% | +6.1% |
| 2024-10-21 miss | 1.64 | 1.40 | -14.8% | -1.0% | -3.8% | -3.5% | +2.9% |
| 2024-07-18 miss | 1.47 | -1.10 | -174.8% | -8.9% | -18.2% | +11.0% | +8.6% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 1.87 | 1.33 | -28.9% | -5.3% | -6.4% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2024-01-31 miss | 1.95 | 1.94 | -0.3% | -4.3% | -7.7% | +0.4% | +8.2% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 1.60 | 1.51 | -5.9% | -1.2% | -1.1% | -3.7% | -0.6% |
| 2023-08-02 | 0.99 | 0.99 | — | -3.0% | -2.4% | -1.5% | -2.2% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 1.58 | 1.44 | -9.1% | -2.8% | +2.7% | -0.3% | -6.3% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.44 | 1.46 | +1.1% | -0.1% | +6.5% | -0.9% | -2.5% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 1.17 | 0.99 | -15.6% | -4.9% | -1.9% | +0.1% | -1.0% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 1.23 | 1.17 | -4.9% | -3.0% | +0.0% | +6.3% | +4.6% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 1.46 | 0.89 | -38.9% | -5.3% | -6.4% | -4.2% | -1.3% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.43 | 1.56 | +8.9% | -2.1% | -3.5% | +0.1% | +7.8% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.03 | 1.18 | +14.7% | +0.1% | -1.2% | +2.7% | +0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.