SNV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -1.0% | 4.4% | 44% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.7% | 2.6% | 67% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +1.4% | 2.0% | 67% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +1.4% | 5.2% | 56% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | 1.41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 1.35 | 1.46 | +7.8% | +0.0% | -6.0% | +2.9% | +6.0% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 1.26 | 1.48 | +17.9% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +5.3% | -8.1% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 1.12 | 1.30 | +15.8% | +1.7% | +1.9% | +4.3% | +19.2% |
| 2025-01-15 beat | 1.15 | 1.25 | +8.6% | -2.7% | -3.1% | +2.0% | +2.7% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 1.09 | 1.23 | +13.2% | +3.4% | +5.1% | -3.5% | +9.6% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 0.95 | 1.16 | +22.7% | -0.8% | -1.0% | +4.0% | -3.6% |
| 2024-04-17 miss | 0.99 | 0.79 | -20.3% | -7.6% | -7.4% | +7.9% | +18.3% |
| 2024-01-17 miss | 0.94 | 0.80 | -15.3% | +0.8% | +4.6% | +6.1% | +0.0% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 0.86 | 0.84 | -2.6% | +3.0% | -2.1% | -2.5% | +16.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.