SPCE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | -0.9% | 14.1% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.1% | 6.0% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -1.3% | -3.0% | 6.8% | 25% |
| 5-day | +3.1% | -1.8% | 17.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 beat | -0.65 | -0.58 | +9.9% | -13.6% | -4.8% | -1.9% | — |
| 2026-05-14 beat | -0.94 | -0.81 | +13.8% | -6.2% | -2.4% | +15.3% | +19.2% |
| 2026-03-30 beat | -1.07 | -0.93 | +12.3% | +11.5% | +12.0% | +22.2% | -2.1% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | -1.48 | -1.10 | +25.9% | -1.5% | +10.9% | -7.9% | -15.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -2.22 | -1.41 | +36.3% | +0.5% | -9.5% | -11.7% | -5.0% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | -2.55 | -2.38 | +6.8% | +11.6% | +43.3% | -22.5% | -38.3% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | -3.00 | -2.53 | +15.6% | +8.6% | -0.3% | -12.3% | -21.4% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -4.13 | -2.66 | +35.6% | -12.2% | -11.8% | +4.8% | +4.6% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -4.88 | -4.36 | +10.7% | +10.1% | +14.0% | +14.0% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -5.90 | -5.00 | +15.2% | -4.1% | -1.5% | +6.5% | -15.0% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | -6.17 | -4.98 | +19.3% | -4.7% | -7.9% | -6.9% | -15.4% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | -8.80 | -5.60 | +36.4% | +16.0% | +19.2% | +11.8% | +24.7% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | -10.45 | -9.20 | +12.0% | -5.1% | -4.3% | -14.6% | -36.4% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | -10.57 | -11.40 | -7.8% | -2.4% | +2.0% | +7.9% | -3.4% |
| 2023-02-28 miss | -10.42 | -11.00 | -5.5% | -3.3% | -17.6% | +14.4% | -14.2% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -8.17 | -11.00 | -34.6% | +4.8% | +7.4% | +11.8% | -6.1% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | -7.20 | -8.60 | -19.4% | -17.6% | -17.5% | +5.3% | -13.5% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | -6.44 | -7.20 | -11.8% | -5.6% | -9.3% | -3.8% | +1.8% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | -7.10 | -6.20 | +12.7% | +2.9% | +3.5% | +16.4% | +20.3% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | -5.66 | -3.80 | +32.9% | +0.0% | +5.1% | -12.3% | -25.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.