SR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 2.1% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 1.4% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 65% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.9% | 3.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -0.30 | -0.26 | +12.9% | -0.6% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +3.2% |
| 2026-05-06 | 3.76 | 3.76 | — | -1.6% | -4.0% | -0.8% | -4.4% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.64 | 1.77 | +7.7% | -0.2% | -0.5% | +2.2% | +7.2% |
| 2025-11-14 miss | -0.38 | -0.47 | -22.6% | -2.8% | -2.4% | -1.0% | -3.8% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | -0.08 | 0.01 | +111.9% | +1.9% | -1.0% | +2.1% | -0.2% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 3.67 | 3.60 | -2.0% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -0.6% | -1.6% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 1.42 | 1.34 | -5.4% | -3.6% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +7.4% |
| 2024-11-20 miss | -0.53 | -0.54 | -2.4% | -0.9% | +0.7% | +6.9% | -2.5% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +17.7% | -2.8% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -1.7% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 3.78 | 3.45 | -8.7% | +0.5% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.38 | 1.47 | +6.5% | +1.7% | +4.4% | -1.4% | +2.8% |
| 2023-11-16 miss | -0.64 | -0.78 | -22.2% | +1.1% | -0.3% | +1.7% | +5.1% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | — | -0.42 | -8706.6% | -1.2% | -1.1% | -1.8% | -4.8% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 3.51 | 3.70 | +5.5% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +2.4% | -3.2% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 1.17 | 1.55 | +33.0% | +4.9% | +2.8% | -2.1% | -5.8% |
| 2022-11-16 miss | -0.64 | -0.66 | -2.9% | -1.0% | -3.2% | +8.7% | -2.9% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -56.6% | -0.2% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -5.7% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 3.11 | 3.42 | +10.0% | -1.1% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +6.4% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 1.32 | 1.14 | -13.7% | -1.7% | -3.2% | -0.1% | +10.3% |
| 2021-11-22 beat | -0.69 | -0.32 | +53.9% | -0.2% | +1.7% | -4.5% | +2.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.