TDC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.5% | -3.7% | 17.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | +0.1% | 3.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 2.4% | 35% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -0.9% | 16.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.56 | 0.69 | +23.1% | -20.0% | -23.7% | +1.9% | +9.8% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.77 | 0.88 | +14.2% | -9.6% | +0.7% | +8.0% | +11.3% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.56 | 0.74 | +33.1% | +32.3% | +29.6% | -15.2% | -29.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.54 | 0.72 | +34.3% | +20.2% | +32.6% | +1.1% | +8.7% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.40 | 0.47 | +16.9% | +6.9% | +8.0% | -2.0% | -3.8% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.56 | 0.66 | +17.4% | -2.0% | +1.8% | +4.5% | +0.2% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.43 | 0.53 | +22.1% | -24.7% | -20.3% | -2.9% | -7.8% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.56 | 0.69 | +22.9% | -8.9% | -14.7% | +3.4% | +13.6% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.64 | +33.5% | -14.2% | -14.1% | +7.5% | +10.4% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.0% | -15.5% | -13.8% | +3.7% | -1.7% |
| 2024-02-12 beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +9.0% | -20.1% | -21.7% | -1.4% | -1.2% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.6% | +3.2% | +1.5% | +4.7% | -4.9% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +6.5% | -2.2% | -16.9% | -2.1% | -3.7% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -0.7% | +4.6% | +8.4% | -1.2% | +9.0% |
| 2023-02-13 beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +16.4% | +7.1% | +15.5% | +3.0% | -6.1% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +6.7% | +4.9% | +3.1% | +9.7% | +9.4% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +14.8% | -3.9% | -8.1% | +0.1% | -8.8% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.2% | -8.2% | -10.2% | +2.1% | +9.3% |
| 2022-02-07 beat | 0.27 | 0.57 | +107.9% | +13.4% | +26.3% | -0.5% | -11.1% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.33 | 0.43 | +31.3% | -15.1% | -14.2% | -0.5% | -10.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.