TKR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -0.1% | 5.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | -0.5% | 3.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | +1.1% | 6.8% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.62 | 1.83 | +12.9% | -7.4% | -6.9% | -2.6% | -8.9% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.50 | 1.67 | +11.2% | +8.3% | +9.2% | -3.3% | +10.1% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 1.09 | 1.14 | +4.9% | -1.1% | +3.0% | +9.9% | +0.7% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.37 | +10.1% | +7.5% | +2.6% | -1.0% | +2.7% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.36 | 1.42 | +4.3% | -4.9% | -7.7% | -1.6% | +4.6% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 1.42 | 1.40 | -1.5% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +2.9% | +6.6% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.99 | 1.16 | +17.2% | -2.4% | +3.5% | +0.5% | -5.6% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 1.38 | 1.23 | -10.6% | -6.4% | -12.9% | +2.8% | +4.8% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.61 | 1.63 | +1.4% | +0.7% | +1.6% | -8.0% | -3.6% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.52 | 1.77 | +16.2% | +5.6% | +2.9% | +0.9% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 1.22 | 1.37 | +12.1% | -5.7% | -4.4% | +1.8% | +3.5% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 1.60 | 1.55 | -2.9% | -3.0% | -0.5% | +3.0% | +8.5% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 2.08 | 2.01 | -3.4% | -12.8% | -9.2% | -6.8% | -5.4% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 1.89 | 2.09 | +10.6% | +3.1% | -0.7% | -3.9% | +2.0% |
| 2023-02-06 beat | 1.09 | 1.22 | +11.8% | -2.8% | -4.2% | +2.8% | +6.2% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.34 | 1.52 | +13.8% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +1.9% | +10.5% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.32 | 1.67 | +26.1% | +3.1% | +1.9% | +1.9% | +2.6% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 1.16 | 1.61 | +38.8% | +3.2% | +2.7% | +1.9% | +1.2% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.91 | 0.78 | -14.0% | -2.8% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -12.0% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 1.16 | 1.18 | +2.0% | +0.2% | +2.1% | +2.6% | -10.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.