TTC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -2.0% | 6.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.3% | 2.9% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.6% | 2.9% | 60% |
| 5-day | -2.0% | -4.5% | 8.6% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 beat | 1.31 | 1.33 | +1.7% | -0.2% | -6.8% | +0.4% | — |
| 2026-06-04 beat | 1.50 | 1.60 | +6.7% | +2.8% | -2.3% | +3.8% | +6.5% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 0.65 | 0.74 | +14.2% | +1.0% | -1.8% | -4.0% | -5.5% |
| 2025-12-17 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.2% | +7.4% | +10.7% | -1.9% | +9.3% |
| 2025-09-04 beat | 1.22 | 1.24 | +2.1% | -3.3% | +0.1% | -0.9% | -4.7% |
| 2025-06-05 beat | 1.40 | 1.42 | +1.8% | -1.8% | -3.0% | -4.8% | +1.4% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.6% | -1.3% | -4.9% | -3.1% | -11.4% |
| 2024-12-18 miss | 0.95 | 0.95 | -0.1% | -5.4% | -4.5% | +0.3% | +3.3% |
| 2024-09-05 miss | 1.23 | 1.18 | -4.1% | -13.9% | -10.1% | +1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | 1.29 | 1.40 | +8.2% | +9.9% | +14.4% | +4.6% | -3.6% |
| 2024-03-07 miss | 0.66 | 0.64 | -2.6% | -3.4% | -5.5% | -0.2% | -1.7% |
| 2023-12-20 beat | 0.56 | 0.71 | +26.8% | +12.6% | +8.9% | -0.4% | -3.6% |
| 2023-09-07 miss | 1.24 | 0.95 | -23.4% | -11.8% | -12.7% | -4.6% | -3.1% |
| 2023-06-08 beat | 1.52 | 1.59 | +4.6% | -2.5% | -7.3% | +0.7% | +7.4% |
| 2023-03-09 beat | 0.94 | 0.98 | +4.3% | +0.4% | +2.3% | -7.0% | -11.1% |
| 2022-12-21 beat | 1.09 | 1.11 | +1.6% | -3.3% | +0.8% | +0.3% | -1.8% |
| 2022-09-01 beat | 1.13 | 1.19 | +4.9% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +7.4% | +5.9% |
| 2022-06-02 beat | 1.22 | 1.25 | +2.1% | +2.0% | +5.5% | -3.2% | -7.7% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | 0.63 | 0.66 | +5.6% | -1.2% | -3.8% | -11.0% | -7.1% |
| 2021-12-15 beat | 0.53 | 0.56 | +4.9% | +3.1% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.