USAC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.4% | 2.9% | 59% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 41% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.7% | 1.9% | 71% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +1.4% | 6.0% | 68% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.33 | 0.33 | -0.3% | +1.2% | +2.4% | -1.8% | +4.4% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.36 | 0.32 | -11.1% | -0.7% | +1.5% | +6.8% | +4.6% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 0.31 | 0.28 | -9.0% | +1.8% | -2.5% | +3.9% | +8.9% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +11.0% | +4.5% | +6.6% | -1.3% | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +7.1% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +3.1% | -1.6% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -21.6% | -3.4% | -4.7% | +6.2% | +10.9% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -13.1% | -0.5% | -3.4% | +1.2% | -10.0% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -16.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +5.9% | +7.0% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +36.5% | +1.9% | +3.4% | -2.0% | +2.0% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.10 | 0.16 | +60.6% | +0.0% | +3.1% | -2.4% | -4.3% |
| 2024-02-13 miss | 0.10 | 0.02 | -80.3% | -0.4% | -3.9% | +6.5% | +18.7% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +9.6% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +3.3% | -5.1% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.05 | 0.11 | +116.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +1.1% | +8.3% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | +0.7% | -2.5% | -4.1% | -7.6% |
| 2023-02-14 miss | 0.02 | -0.04 | -263.3% | -0.3% | +0.0% | -3.3% | -4.5% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.03 | +74.0% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +2.8% | +1.5% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +46.0% | +0.9% | +0.6% | +1.8% | +2.1% |
| 2022-05-03 miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -17.1% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -1.5% | +10.8% |
| 2022-02-15 miss | -0.09 | -0.09 | -5.1% | -0.7% | +2.0% | +3.5% | +6.8% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | -0.05 | -0.08 | -57.5% | -1.9% | +2.0% | -2.8% | -8.9% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | -0.10 | -0.10 | -4.4% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2021-05-04 miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -6.7% | -1.1% | -0.7% | +0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | -0.10 | -0.14 | -41.4% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -4.5% | +2.1% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +16.6% | +3.1% | +1.1% | +4.1% | +15.1% |
| 2020-08-04 miss | -0.03 | -0.05 | -64.8% | +1.5% | -0.3% | +8.0% | -2.0% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | — | 0.04 | +1567.6% | +6.9% | +4.3% | +20.5% | +64.1% |
| 2020-02-18 | — | 0.01 | — | +0.0% | +4.7% | -8.7% | -76.6% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | -0.03 | — | +84.2% | +4.0% | +5.1% | -4.3% | -12.3% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | -0.01 | — | +74.5% | +3.4% | -0.1% | -5.3% | -4.8% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +15.2% | +0.3% | -1.0% | +7.8% | +5.4% |
| 2019-02-19 beat | -0.05 | 0.08 | +252.1% | +4.1% | +3.9% | +2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2018-11-06 miss | -0.04 | -0.12 | -181.7% | +0.7% | -5.9% | -2.8% | +4.2% |
| 2018-08-07 beat | -0.08 | -0.04 | +46.9% | +1.4% | +4.2% | -2.0% | -5.3% |
| 2018-05-09 miss | 0.11 | -0.23 | -304.6% | +0.1% | +1.6% | -1.9% | +0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.