VRM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -20.5% | -20.5% | 0.0% | 0% |
| Day 2 | +4.4% | +4.4% | 0.0% | 100% |
| Day 3 | +3.0% | +3.0% | 0.0% | 100% |
| 5-day | -14.3% | -14.3% | 0.0% | 0% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-07 miss | -44.80 | -47.29 | -5.6% | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -43.47 | -40.96 | +5.8% | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2023-05-09 | -46.00 | -46.00 | — | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | -50.72 | -46.07 | +9.2% | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | -49.79 | -60.80 | -22.1% | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | -59.86 | -58.40 | +2.4% | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | -80.89 | -56.80 | +29.8% | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2022-02-28 miss | -61.60 | -75.20 | -22.1% | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | -58.71 | -56.00 | +4.6% | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2021-08-11 beat | -39.47 | -38.40 | +2.7% | -12.3% | -20.5% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.