WF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +1.3% | 1.5% | 67% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 53% |
| 5-day | +2.4% | +2.4% | 5.2% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 miss | 3658.39 | 3291.00 | -10.0% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +5.9% | +6.8% |
| 2026-02-15 miss | 1536.53 | 1275.00 | -17.0% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +3.1% | -16.3% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | 3376.85 | 4953.00 | +46.7% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -4.1% | +0.2% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 3565.68 | 3675.00 | +3.1% | -0.2% | -0.7% | -3.5% | +3.7% |
| 2025-05-15 miss | 2919.97 | 2343.00 | -19.8% | +0.5% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +17.7% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 1560.26 | 1482.00 | -5.0% | +0.3% | -0.5% | +8.8% | +0.9% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 3012.70 | 3516.00 | +16.7% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +5.8% | -4.0% |
| 2024-08-14 beat | 2945.65 | 3618.00 | +22.8% | +1.0% | +2.3% | +8.8% | +3.0% |
| 2024-05-16 beat | 2813.97 | 3168.00 | +12.6% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -2.5% | -5.7% |
| 2024-03-14 miss | 1256.21 | 387.00 | -69.2% | +0.9% | +1.8% | +0.6% | -17.3% |
| 2023-11-14 beat | 3212.02 | 3366.00 | +4.8% | +2.1% | +3.4% | +0.2% | +3.8% |
| 2023-08-15 miss | 3281.32 | 2442.00 | -25.6% | +0.0% | -1.6% | +0.2% | +10.9% |
| 2023-05-15 miss | 3734.69 | 3642.00 | -2.5% | +1.1% | +1.7% | +3.2% | +5.0% |
| 2023-03-07 miss | 2287.65 | 1863.00 | -18.6% | +0.3% | +0.6% | -7.3% | -4.6% |
| 2022-11-14 miss | 3739.14 | 3618.00 | -3.2% | +2.4% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.