WWD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.6% | 9.1% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +1.5% | 2.1% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.8% | 1.7% | 70% |
| 5-day | +4.1% | +2.8% | 10.6% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.45 | 2.52 | +2.9% | -7.1% | -7.6% | +2.7% | -4.1% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 2.09 | 2.27 | +8.6% | -3.5% | +0.6% | +2.1% | -5.8% |
| 2026-02-02 beat | 1.65 | 2.17 | +31.2% | +14.0% | +13.4% | +5.5% | +4.2% |
| 2025-11-24 beat | 1.89 | 2.09 | +10.6% | +7.2% | +12.4% | -0.7% | +6.0% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.64 | 1.76 | +7.0% | -1.9% | +1.4% | -3.4% | -4.8% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 1.46 | 1.69 | +15.4% | +3.0% | +1.9% | +6.1% | +17.9% |
| 2025-02-03 beat | 1.20 | 1.35 | +12.7% | -2.6% | -1.8% | +4.8% | -3.9% |
| 2024-11-25 beat | 1.26 | 1.41 | +11.9% | +10.7% | +4.5% | -1.8% | -9.3% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 1.52 | 1.63 | +7.6% | -16.4% | -17.2% | +1.5% | +8.6% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 1.34 | 1.62 | +21.1% | +7.4% | +7.5% | +8.7% | +14.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.