XP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.9% | -2.0% | 7.1% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.2% | 3.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | +0.1% | 2.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | +0.5% | 10.2% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 beat | 2.62 | 2.67 | +2.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +12.4% | — |
| 2026-05-18 miss | 2.53 | 2.49 | -1.7% | -5.2% | -3.9% | +2.8% | -8.2% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 2.50 | 2.56 | +2.4% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +9.2% | -4.2% |
| 2025-11-17 beat | 2.42 | 2.47 | +2.2% | +2.2% | +1.9% | -1.6% | -13.9% |
| 2025-08-18 beat | 2.33 | 2.46 | +5.7% | -7.5% | -8.6% | +4.8% | +25.7% |
| 2025-05-20 beat | 2.17 | 2.29 | +5.6% | +1.8% | +0.5% | +3.2% | +3.2% |
| 2025-02-19 miss | 2.25 | 2.23 | -0.9% | +1.6% | -1.3% | -1.0% | +2.6% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 2.17 | 2.18 | +0.5% | -3.7% | -6.1% | -4.6% | -22.3% |
| 2024-08-13 beat | 1.96 | 2.03 | +3.4% | +7.6% | +6.2% | -0.8% | -1.6% |
| 2024-05-21 miss | 2.06 | 1.85 | -10.2% | -6.9% | -16.1% | +5.9% | -0.4% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 1.97 | 2.08 | +5.3% | -5.2% | -3.6% | +4.5% | +8.2% |
| 2023-11-13 beat | 1.99 | 2.13 | +6.6% | +5.8% | +0.8% | +2.3% | +13.2% |
| 2023-08-14 beat | 1.82 | 1.99 | +9.3% | -0.2% | -2.6% | +6.0% | +3.8% |
| 2023-05-15 beat | 1.48 | 1.52 | +2.8% | +6.0% | +1.3% | +9.7% | +37.0% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 1.72 | 1.59 | -7.7% | -15.0% | -18.8% | -4.3% | -8.8% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 1.58 | 2.00 | +26.8% | +5.0% | +7.4% | -7.2% | -19.3% |
| 2022-08-10 beat | 1.60 | 1.81 | +13.4% | -6.0% | -13.2% | +3.4% | -1.5% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 1.61 | 1.71 | +6.4% | -8.2% | -7.5% | -17.1% | +4.1% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 1.51 | 1.88 | +25.1% | +2.5% | +6.5% | +4.4% | -13.7% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.57 | 1.82 | +16.0% | -0.2% | -3.0% | +5.1% | -8.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.