ARE Seasonality — Monthly Returns and Hit Rate by Month

Monthly returns (%)

	21	22	23	24	25	26
Jan	-6.2	-12.6	+10.3	-4.6	-0.2	+11.6
Feb	-4.4	-2.8	-6.8	+3.2	+5.0	-1.1
Mar	+3.6	+6.9	-15.3	+4.4	-8.3	-12.7
Apr	+10.2	-9.5	-1.1	-10.1	-21.5	-12.7
May	-1.6	-8.9	-8.6	+2.7	-3.4	+22.6
Jun	+2.7	-11.9	+1.1	-0.6	+5.4	+7.8
Jul	+10.7	+14.3	+10.7	+0.3	+5.2	-2.6
Aug	+2.5	-7.5	-7.4	+1.9	+7.9	-0.3
Sep	-6.9	-7.8	-12.9	+0.4	+2.7	-6.1
Oct	+6.8	+3.6	-7.0	-6.1	-30.1	-8.6
Nov	-2.0	+7.1	+17.5	-1.2	-7.8
Dec	+12.0	-5.6	+17.0	-10.3	-7.5
Yr	+28	-33	-9	-19	-47	-7

Total return — dividends reinvested (prices are dividend- and split-adjusted).

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Average	+1.1	-2.6	+0.6	+0.2	-2.0	-0.1	+5.0	+0.8	-2.1	-2.4	-1.3	+4.2
Median	+0.4	-1.3	+2.3	+1.8	-1.1	+0.9	+6.0	+0.6	-0.9	+3.0	+1.8	+3.2
Hit rate	50%	35%	65%	60%	40%	55%	95%	60%	40%	55%	55%	70%

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