CF Seasonality — Monthly Returns and Hit Rate by Month

Monthly returns (%)

	21	22	23	24	25	26
Jan	+6.9	-2.7	-0.6	-5.0	+8.1	+20.5
Feb	+10.2	+18.4	+1.9	+7.6	-11.6	+7.3
Mar	+0.2	+26.9	-15.6	+3.1	-3.5	+30.4
Apr	+7.2	-6.0	-1.3	-5.1	+0.3	-4.3
May	+10.0	+2.4	-13.6	+1.6	+16.4	-9.2
Jun	-3.2	-13.2	+12.9	-7.0	+1.4	-3.6
Jul	-8.2	+11.4	+18.2	+3.1	+0.9	+15.6
Aug	-3.3	+8.8	-5.6	+9.5	-6.1	+4.4
Sep	+22.9	-7.0	+11.2	+3.3	+3.5	-11.4
Oct	+1.8	+10.4	-7.0	-4.2	-7.1	+4.8
Nov	+7.2	+2.2	-5.3	+9.7	-4.9
Dec	+16.8	-21.2	+5.8	-4.8	-1.7
Yr	+87	+22	-5	+10	-7	+58

Total return — dividends reinvested (prices are dividend- and split-adjusted).

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Average	+1.8	+5.8	-4.8	+1.4	+0.7	+0.1	+5.8	+3.3	-0.6	+0.5	+1.7	+3.0
Median	+0.1	+4.9	-3.5	+1.3	+2.4	-2.2	+5.5	+3.6	+4.2	-2.4	+2.4	+3.7
Hit rate	50%	70%	25%	65%	65%	45%	85%	55%	70%	45%	60%	70%

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