CTS Seasonality — Monthly Returns and Hit Rate by Month

Monthly returns (%)

	21	22	23	24	25	26
Jan	-11.2	-8.6	+12.9	-6.1	-3.1	+19.9
Feb	+5.5	+13.1	-2.7	+8.5	-12.6	+2.4
Mar	-3.3	-6.7	+14.3	+5.1	-6.9	-9.2
Apr	+4.7	+0.1	-20.7	-2.2	-8.4	+19.6
May	+17.6	+15.0	+16.5	+15.7	+6.9	+12.5
Jun	-2.7	-16.2	-6.6	-4.3	+4.8	+1.6
Jul	-5.8	+19.5	+4.7	-3.5	-8.0	-1.6
Aug	+0.3	+4.0	+0.0	+0.8	+8.4	-12.0
Sep	-11.8	-1.5	-6.4	-1.7	-5.9	+4.0
Oct	+15.2	-5.1	-10.4	+2.3	+3.9	-8.1
Nov	-2.2	+7.5	+3.6	+11.0	+2.0
Dec	+5.5	-7.2	+13.0	-3.9	+1.4
Yr	+8	+8	+11	+21	-18	+26

Total return — dividends reinvested (prices are dividend- and split-adjusted).

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Average	-2.3	-2.5	+3.1	+2.1	+1.6	+0.5	+3.0	+1.1	-0.7	-2.2	+1.4	+2.8
Median	-3.6	-0.4	+4.2	+2.0	-0.6	+1.6	+0.9	+2.0	-1.6	+0.3	+3.0	+3.5
Hit rate	35%	50%	65%	65%	50%	60%	55%	80%	35%	50%	70%	70%

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