GH Seasonality — Monthly Returns and Hit Rate by Month

Monthly returns (%)

	21	22	23	24	25	26
Jan	+20.7	-30.5	+15.6	-18.9	+53.8	+11.7
Feb	-5.4	-4.7	-1.7	-13.4	-9.4	-17.7
Mar	+3.7	-0.0	-24.1	+8.6	+0.1	-1.6
Apr	+4.1	-6.9	-3.8	-12.7	+10.9	-5.7
May	-21.9	-33.6	+30.0	+50.6	-14.0	+48.9
Jun	+0.1	-1.6	+22.1	+6.6	+28.1	+15.7
Jul	-11.6	+24.4	+9.0	+21.6	-21.3	+8.0
Aug	+15.9	-0.2	+0.2	-27.2	+64.5	-1.8
Sep	-1.8	+7.5	-24.2	-10.3	-7.3	+12.2
Oct	-6.6	-8.0	-12.7	-4.6	+48.9	+2.4
Nov	-10.0	+5.7	-2.7	+62.8	+16.6
Dec	-4.9	-48.0	+7.5	-14.2	-5.8
Yr	-22	-73	-1	+13	+234	+79

Total return — dividends reinvested (prices are dividend- and split-adjusted).

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Average	+3.4	+4.0	-3.4	-2.2	+2.7	+7.5	+4.0	+5.4	-7.8	+1.5	+12.1	-10.5
Median	+7.3	-4.7	+0.1	-3.8	+17.4	+6.6	+8.9	+0.1	-7.3	-4.6	+11.8	-4.8
Hit rate	57%	28%	57%	42%	57%	71%	71%	57%	28%	28%	71%	42%

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