HTD Seasonality — Monthly Returns and Hit Rate by Month

Monthly returns (%)

	21	22	23	24	25	26
Jan	-0.5	-5.5	+7.5	+1.6	+3.4	+5.0
Feb	+2.1	+0.1	-5.0	+1.6	+4.5	+5.4
Mar	+11.2	+5.0	-7.1	+2.5	+2.4	-3.6
Apr	+4.4	-1.7	+1.6	-0.0	-3.6	+5.4
May	-0.2	+3.4	-8.2	+6.7	+1.3	-0.5
Jun	+3.5	-10.2	+4.7	-1.6	+2.0	+0.0
Jul	+1.7	+5.9	+3.2	+6.2	+4.4	+1.0
Aug	-2.2	+0.0	-7.4	+2.3	+1.9	-2.2
Sep	-6.0	-12.3	-7.0	+7.9	+1.5	-11.5
Oct	+7.8	+9.3	-6.5	-0.3	+1.1	+3.3
Nov	-1.2	+4.5	+14.4	+3.4	+0.7
Dec	+9.2	-2.6	+2.2	-6.3	-4.4
Yr	+32	-6	-10	+26	+16	+1

Total return — dividends reinvested (prices are dividend- and split-adjusted).

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Average	+1.9	-1.4	+0.0	+3.4	+0.1	+0.2	+3.0	+0.2	-1.2	+1.6	+0.2	+1.8
Median	+1.7	+1.8	+1.9	+2.8	+0.8	+1.9	+1.8	+0.7	+0.4	+1.4	+0.5	+1.3
Hit rate	70%	65%	70%	80%	55%	55%	80%	70%	60%	60%	60%	60%

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