MCHB Seasonality — Monthly Returns and Hit Rate by Month

Monthly returns (%)

	21	22	23	24	25	26
Jan	+7.8	-6.2	-0.0	+33.6	-11.8	+2.5
Feb	+18.8	+6.3	-7.4	+1.4	-0.3	-4.9
Mar	+2.6	-7.9	-28.7	+7.9	+16.9	+6.3
Apr	-7.3	-14.3	-45.7	-18.6	-3.2	+0.1
May	+10.9	+0.2	-45.4	-25.5	+14.7	+4.6
Jun	-9.5	-14.0	+13.0	+24.9	+0.3	+8.0
Jul	-7.4	+7.6	+55.4	+26.3	+0.1	+5.6
Aug	+9.0	-5.7	+3.7	+11.1	+6.0	-4.8
Sep	+0.7	-17.2	-17.6	-1.5	-4.0	-6.1
Oct	+14.6	-9.9	-38.0	-42.5	+0.6	+1.1
Nov	+5.2	+6.6	+41.9	+31.1	+16.1
Dec	+5.3	+1.0	+52.6	-3.9	-4.5
Yr	+58	-45	-61	+11	+30	+12

Total return — dividends reinvested (prices are dividend- and split-adjusted).

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Average	-0.5	+1.1	-2.8	-7.5	-3.9	+1.0	+6.6	+1.7	-4.3	-4.9	+9.6	+2.5
Median	-1.3	-0.3	+2.4	-7.0	+1.1	+0.6	+1.2	+3.7	-3.8	+0.6	+5.4	+1.0
Hit rate	38%	46%	53%	30%	61%	61%	61%	53%	30%	53%	92%	61%

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