MSB Seasonality — Monthly Returns and Hit Rate by Month

Monthly returns (%)

	21	22	23	24	25	26
Jan	-9.7	+11.8	+27.8	-2.9	+1.9	-13.9
Feb	+6.5	-0.8	+10.6	-10.8	+17.6	-7.7
Mar	+13.5	-4.0	-1.2	+1.7	-2.0	+3.7
Apr	+20.6	-8.7	-7.8	-7.6	+4.7	-11.0
May	+5.1	+16.6	-21.8	+10.2	-10.2	-5.1
Jun	-4.9	-10.0	+12.5	-2.8	-4.5	-4.1
Jul	-1.6	+14.5	-3.7	+3.8	+22.6	-12.9
Aug	-4.9	-6.5	-6.3	-3.5	+5.6	+11.2
Sep	-10.2	-15.6	+8.9	+33.5	-5.2	-19.9
Oct	-21.9	+3.6	+3.7	+8.2	+17.8	-6.3
Nov	+7.4	-9.6	-12.3	+15.1	-4.3
Dec	+11.7	-10.5	+14.0	+1.3	+17.9
Yr	+4	-23	+16	+47	+72	-51

Total return — dividends reinvested (prices are dividend- and split-adjusted).

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Average	+5.1	+3.2	+1.5	+1.6	+0.1	-1.6	+1.6	-0.0	+2.0	+2.0	-2.4	+0.4
Median	+2.2	+3.2	-0.6	-3.0	-2.5	-3.8	-1.6	-3.1	+1.9	+3.6	-2.4	+0.1
Hit rate	55%	60%	45%	40%	45%	40%	40%	45%	50%	75%	45%	50%

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