NMFC Seasonality — Monthly Returns and Hit Rate by Month

Monthly returns (%)

	21	22	23	24	25	26
Jan	+0.8	-2.9	+4.5	+1.3	+4.1	-6.5
Feb	+8.2	+1.5	-2.0	+0.1	-0.6	-11.1
Mar	+2.4	+4.9	-1.2	+1.1	-2.5	+5.8
Apr	+6.1	-4.0	-2.3	-0.8	-9.9	+10.0
May	+1.0	-2.8	+0.7	+0.2	+8.4	-6.3
Jun	+1.4	-5.5	+6.9	-0.2	+1.0	-7.4
Jul	+1.5	+8.6	+2.5	+1.3	-0.3	-3.9
Aug	+0.1	+1.5	+0.2	-0.7	+1.3	+10.8
Sep	+1.8	-10.1	+4.3	+0.1	-6.6	-6.1
Oct	+5.6	+5.4	-4.4	-4.6	+0.3	+1.7
Nov	-4.1	+5.1	+3.6	+4.5	+0.0
Dec	+3.8	-0.6	+2.8	-3.0	-1.5
Yr	+32	-1	+16	-1	-7	-15

Total return — dividends reinvested (prices are dividend- and split-adjusted).

	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Average	+0.2	+0.5	-2.6	+0.6	+2.6	+1.2	+1.2	+1.9	-0.9	-0.6	+4.2	-0.3
Median	+0.2	+0.8	+0.8	-0.4	+0.6	+1.2	+0.7	+1.4	+0.3	-0.9	+2.5	+0.4
Hit rate	50%	64%	64%	42%	64%	71%	64%	71%	57%	35%	78%	50%

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