TOL

Toll Brothers, Inc. $134.92 1M -9.2% 3M -8.3% YTD -0.5% as of 2026-09-11
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Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.6%
Next 1 month
-1.7%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Oct 14): -4.6% median, 28% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 52
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.25 -0.2% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$13.6B market cap (#661 US) $131M/day volume 35% volatility -6% 1-year -20% from ATH
52-week range · 26% of the way up · -20% from the high
$123.15$168.36

Congressional trades in TOL Full tracker →

3 members · 4 buys / 3 sells · $7K–$105K disclosed · latest filing Mar 16, 2021.

SELL PM Peter Meijer · traded Feb 16, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Sep 18, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Jul 23, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Jul 29, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY DS Donna Shalala · traded Jan 23, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY DS Donna Shalala · traded Apr 16, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL DS Donna Shalala · traded Jun 24, 2019 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-12-08 (Tuesday, after close, in 85 days) · EPS est. 4.94.

1-day std dev
5.7%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+13.8%
Biggest drop
-14.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

Data from the U.S. House Clerk and FINRA, plus end-of-day prices. Not investment advice.