TS
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
$365.44
1M +11.6%
3M -8.4%
YTD -16.6%
as of 2026-09-11
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Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Oct 13): -2.9% median,
47% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 54
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.25 +0.5% · Seasonal tilt -1.1%
$1.17T market cap (#9 US)
$14.1B/day volume
47% volatility
+5% 1-year
-27% from ATH
52-week range · 34% of the way up · -27% from the high
$297.38$498.83
Next report 2026-10-21 (Wednesday, after close, in 38 days) · EPS est. 0.45.
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
Crowding
22/100
Squeeze risk
41/100
2.1% of float short
2.0 days to cover
shorts +7% last read
95th %ile of its history
as of 2026-08-31
Data from the U.S. House Clerk and FINRA, plus end-of-day prices. Not investment advice.