AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. $62.50 as of 2026-11-02
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.9%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+10.0%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -4.1% median, 42% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.63%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 4.32 +10.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$1.1B/day volume 145% volatility +78% 1-year -73% from ATH
52-week range · 20% of the way up · -73% from the high
$18.50$233.67

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 0.14.

1-day std dev
20.0%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+67.1%
Biggest drop
-34.1%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 52 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-06 beat 0.02 0.06 +300.0% +14.7% +9.2% +21.0%
2026-05-07 miss -0.05 -0.07 -44.8% +10.3% -5.5% +20.8%
2026-02-26 beat -0.11 -0.01 +91.1% +22.8% +56.9% +78.0%
2025-11-06 miss -0.09 -0.09 -2.3% -14.1% -1.8% -26.2%
2025-08-07 miss -0.07 -0.16 -116.2% +7.4% -3.3% +0.2%
2025-05-08 beat -0.04 -0.02 +46.7% -7.4% -0.6% +26.6%
2025-02-26 miss -0.02 -0.02 -14.3% -4.7% -4.6% -38.3%
2024-11-07 miss -0.17 -0.21 -25.4% +8.9% +55.1% +49.7%
2024-08-06 beat -0.29 -0.28 +4.3% +13.9% -5.8% +11.7%
2024-05-09 miss -0.29 -0.31 -6.0% -3.2% -3.0% +11.2%
2024-02-22 — 0.04 — -32.5% -30.5% -24.3%
2023-11-09 -0.05 -0.05 — -4.8% -4.0% +30.6%
2023-08-03 beat -0.28 -0.21 +24.1% +27.0% +67.1% +88.0%
2023-05-04 miss -0.18 -0.25 -36.4% -14.4% -11.0% -9.6%
2023-02-23 beat -0.30 -0.19 +37.4% -2.3% -14.1% -10.2%
2022-11-03 beat -0.29 -0.26 +9.6% -6.6% -14.4% -4.1%
2022-08-04 beat -0.30 -0.28 +5.9% -2.0% -5.6% +32.0%
2022-05-05 beat -0.30 -0.29 +3.3% -0.8% -3.1% -10.7%
2022-02-24 beat -0.21 -0.20 +7.0% -6.7% -15.0% -16.0%
2021-11-04 beat -0.28 -0.20 +29.8% -21.3% -32.2% -29.6%
2021-08-05 beat -0.18 -0.15 +17.8% -5.6% -7.1% -8.6%
2021-05-06 beat -0.26 -0.21 +19.2% -0.8% +5.0% +3.5%
2021-02-25 beat -0.23 -0.20 +13.8% -5.7% -16.5% -28.0%
2020-11-05 beat -0.08 -0.06 +29.1% -19.0% -23.3% -24.3%
2020-08-06 beat -0.25 -0.24 +5.1% +15.0% +5.0% -11.8%
2020-05-07 miss -0.37 -0.44 -18.1% -11.6% -16.5% -33.2%
2020-02-27 beat -0.23 -0.18 +21.6% -6.4% -6.6% -8.1%
2019-11-06 beat -0.24 -0.15 +37.2% -10.8% -8.7% -6.9%
2019-08-07 beat -0.37 -0.26 +30.6% +7.7% +6.8% -13.0%
2019-05-08 miss -0.22 -0.27 -24.6% -7.8% -9.4% -19.5%
2019-02-21 beat -0.04 -0.02 +54.3% -11.0% +5.6% -9.3%
2018-11-07 beat 0.07 0.14 +88.1% -7.1% +12.0% +10.1%
2018-08-07 beat 0.44 0.64 +44.7% +23.6% +9.9% +11.0%
2018-05-08 miss 0.33 0.28 -14.3% -9.9% -8.2% -5.2%
2018-02-21 beat 0.83 0.89 +7.7% -17.0% -20.4% -19.5%
2017-11-07 beat 1.02 1.08 +6.3% +6.8% +15.2% +19.8%
2017-08-03 beat 1.35 1.54 +13.9% -23.5% -34.1% -32.8%
2017-05-04 beat 1.01 1.10 +8.7% +10.1% +19.5% +39.8%
2017-02-23 beat 0.79 0.84 +6.3% +12.4% +22.7% +42.3%
2016-11-03 beat 0.28 0.38 +36.5% +11.8% +3.8% +19.8%
2016-08-04 beat 0.06 0.16 +166.7% +14.4% +15.4% +9.3%
2016-05-09 beat -0.05 -0.04 +14.3% -13.3% -17.3% -10.0%
2016-02-24 miss 0.31 0.22 -27.9% +0.2% +5.8% +14.7%
2015-11-05 0.40 0.40 — -0.2% -0.6% -6.4%
2015-08-05 beat 0.37 0.38 +1.8% +5.0% +10.3% +18.5%
2015-05-07 miss 0.09 0.02 -76.9% +4.7% +9.3% +4.8%
2015-02-25 beat 0.25 0.27 +6.3% +1.3% +12.5% +21.2%
2014-11-10 miss 0.23 0.20 -13.8% -17.1% -25.1% -19.6%
2014-08-12 beat 0.09 0.15 +66.7% +8.9% +6.1% +15.2%
2014-05-08 beat 0.06 0.06 +3.5% -5.1% -7.5% -4.5%
2014-02-27 miss 0.05 0.02 -63.0% +22.7% +23.2% +31.7%
2013-11-07 beat — 0.07 +2900.0% -0.8% -1.5% -2.6%

Not investment advice.