AAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.1%
Next 1 week
+2.9%
Next 1 month
+5.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +4.7% median,
76% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.14%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.25 +5.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$5.5B market cap (#914 US)
$77M/day volume
62% volatility
-35% 1-year
-55% from ATH
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -55% from the high
$65.55$150.46
Congressional trades in AAON Full tracker →
2 members · 0 buys / 2 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Feb 13, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 9 days) · EPS est. 0.58.
1-day std dev
7.9%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+31.5%
Biggest drop
-22.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | 0.49 | 0.69 | +39.7% | -0.9% | -5.9% | -7.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.29 | 0.48 | +63.3% | +45.5% | +31.5% | +42.4% |
| 2026-03-02 | miss | 0.46 | 0.39 | -15.2% | +4.0% | +3.5% | -10.7% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +14.9% | +17.7% | +7.0% | +1.8% |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | 0.33 | 0.22 | -32.5% | -22.5% | -10.5% | +1.6% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.24 | 0.37 | +57.0% | +9.6% | +5.7% | +8.9% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | 0.53 | 0.30 | -43.7% | -13.7% | -22.9% | -20.4% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +10.2% | +4.9% | +16.1% | +12.1% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +20.4% | +6.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | 0.49 | 0.46 | -5.2% | -4.3% | -13.7% | -15.0% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +7.7% | +0.1% | -3.4% | -6.7% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.55 | 0.64 | +17.2% | +2.3% | +2.0% | +11.0% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 0.43 | 0.55 | +26.1% | +0.0% | -5.9% | -9.1% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.35 | 0.45 | +26.4% | +3.2% | +7.2% | -1.7% |
| 2023-02-27 | beat | 0.37 | 0.47 | +27.5% | +6.8% | +11.6% | +13.3% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +17.7% | +10.1% | +14.0% | +22.4% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | 0.27 | 0.20 | -26.2% | +4.4% | -3.1% | +2.4% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +20.7% | +10.0% | +8.7% | +11.4% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | 0.18 | 0.12 | -34.9% | -5.7% | -2.4% | -8.5% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | 0.26 | 0.19 | -24.4% | -2.0% | -0.1% | +4.8% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +17.5% | +2.8% | +6.4% | +9.1% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +12.5% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +4.3% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +20.7% | -0.8% | -1.6% | -7.5% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +24.6% | +2.2% | +3.4% | +5.5% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -8.9% | -5.0% | -5.1% | -1.4% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +16.0% | +6.8% | +3.5% | -2.1% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +12.5% | -1.3% | +8.4% | +10.3% |
| 2019-10-31 | miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -8.2% | -6.1% | -2.0% | -0.3% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -9.1% | -3.3% | +2.1% | -10.6% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -10.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -4.8% |
| 2019-02-28 | miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -13.2% | -1.3% | -4.1% | +0.9% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -3.6% | -1.9% | +10.8% | +27.1% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +1.5% | -0.7% | -1.1% | +4.8% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | 0.15 | 0.05 | -65.2% | -3.6% | -6.4% | -12.1% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +25.0% | -0.3% | +8.1% | +0.6% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | 0.19 | 0.19 | -2.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -9.3% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -1.0% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -8.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -1.2% |
| 2017-02-23 | miss | 0.17 | 0.14 | -16.0% | -5.5% | -7.1% | +3.3% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +3.6% | +0.7% | -3.5% | +6.4% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +9.5% | +0.6% | -2.1% | +4.8% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.13 | 0.13 | +2.6% | +1.1% | +9.1% | +6.6% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +20.0% | +1.8% | +8.9% | +13.2% |
| 2015-11-02 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -6.2% | -0.2% | +6.0% | +18.9% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 0.15 | 0.13 | -11.8% | -2.2% | +3.9% | +4.2% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -6.2% | -1.5% | -5.7% | -3.0% |
| 2015-02-27 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +1.8% | +0.8% | -4.5% | -7.0% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -4.4% | -3.6% | +3.0% | +4.2% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -14.3% | -7.8% | -3.4% | -5.5% |
| 2014-05-05 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +52.9% | +3.7% | +9.2% | +10.5% |
| 2014-03-13 | beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +5.0% | +0.3% | -6.5% | -0.5% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +9.8% | +0.6% | -8.9% | -4.3% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +23.0% | +0.4% | +3.5% | +6.9% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +31.8% | -0.3% | +5.5% | +8.7% |
| 2013-03-14 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +37.8% | +0.0% | +2.4% | +6.4% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | 0.07 | 0.07 | -4.0% | +0.5% | -1.0% | -5.1% |
| 2012-08-08 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +58.3% | +4.2% | +5.1% | +0.4% |
| 2012-05-08 | miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -5.3% | -1.1% | +1.1% | +1.3% |
| 2012-03-14 | miss | 0.06 | 0.01 | -80.5% | +0.0% | +3.6% | +7.6% |
| 2011-11-08 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +9.5% | +0.5% | +2.8% | -0.5% |
Posted about AAON
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
79.24
Thu, 17 Sep
2 different insiders at AAON, INC. bought AAON stock in the last 30 days — $109,584 between them, at prices they each paid separately. The largest…
Not investment advice.
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