ABModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+7.7%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): -5.7% median,
44% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 23
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.38%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.60 +8.6% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.9%
$4M/day volume
96% volatility
-74% 1-year
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -74% from the high
$1.27$5.48
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-06 (Friday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.11.
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+18.0%
Biggest drop
-11.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 16 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | miss | -0.06 | -0.15 | -150.0% | -2.6% | -4.5% | -5.7% |
| 2026-05-11 | miss | -0.08 | -0.26 | -225.0% | +0.9% | +4.7% | -6.3% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -40.0% | +9.9% | +18.0% | +7.6% |
| 2025-09-18 | miss | -0.08 | -0.10 | -25.0% | +4.8% | +10.0% | +46.0% |
| 2025-05-15 | miss | 0.04 | -0.14 | -450.0% | -3.8% | -1.9% | -16.5% |
| 2024-11-14 | miss | -0.06 | -0.17 | -183.3% | -4.4% | -11.6% | -7.5% |
| 2024-09-23 | miss | -0.09 | -0.43 | -377.8% | -2.5% | -2.2% | +11.8% |
| 2024-05-15 | miss | -0.12 | -0.19 | -52.0% | +4.6% | +1.5% | +9.2% |
| 2024-02-14 | miss | -0.06 | -0.19 | -216.7% | -11.6% | -4.2% | +1.4% |
| 2023-11-14 | miss | -0.09 | -0.16 | -77.8% | -1.1% | -3.9% | -5.9% |
| 2023-05-15 | -0.15 | -0.15 | — | +0.1% | +1.6% | +18.0% | |
| 2023-02-14 | -0.15 | -0.15 | — | +0.1% | +0.4% | -14.9% | |
| 2022-11-14 | beat | -0.15 | — | +100.0% | -1.2% | +2.8% | +2.0% |
| 2022-05-15 | -0.15 | -0.15 | — | +0.0% | -2.8% | -9.4% | |
| 2021-11-15 | miss | -0.15 | -0.45 | -200.0% | +2.2% | -3.6% | -8.8% |
| 2021-10-13 | -0.15 | -0.15 | — | +1.4% | -2.7% | -11.6% |
Not investment advice.
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