ABModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -8.7% median,
29% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.52 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$5M/day volume
54% volatility
-13% 1-year
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -43% from the high
$4.00$7.65
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, before open, in 9 days) · EPS est. -0.17.
1-day std dev
10.0%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+40.7%
Biggest drop
-27.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 54 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | miss | -0.24 | -0.35 | -42.9% | -18.4% | -14.9% | -20.1% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | -0.39 | -0.30 | +23.7% | +2.3% | +0.5% | -6.3% |
| 2026-03-17 | beat | -0.37 | -0.37 | +2.1% | -3.4% | -3.8% | -12.5% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | -0.34 | -0.11 | +68.5% | +8.6% | +18.5% | +0.7% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | -0.39 | -0.47 | -19.0% | +4.4% | +10.2% | +8.4% |
| 2025-05-15 | beat | -0.35 | -0.24 | +32.2% | -0.6% | +7.4% | +22.1% |
| 2025-03-20 | beat | -0.34 | -0.32 | +8.0% | +3.1% | -1.2% | -3.1% |
| 2024-11-14 | miss | -0.39 | -0.63 | -63.2% | +3.3% | -2.5% | -5.1% |
| 2024-08-12 | miss | -0.34 | -0.44 | -28.8% | +1.8% | +12.0% | +18.3% |
| 2024-05-15 | beat | -0.53 | -0.52 | +1.4% | +1.0% | +12.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-03-18 | miss | -0.42 | -0.48 | -13.0% | -8.5% | -19.0% | -14.3% |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | -0.54 | -0.43 | +19.8% | +1.5% | +10.0% | +3.2% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | -0.70 | -0.50 | +28.5% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +15.8% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -0.58 | -0.67 | -16.0% | +2.8% | -7.2% | -6.6% |
| 2022-11-14 | beat | -1.75 | -1.48 | +15.3% | +0.5% | -5.5% | -6.2% |
| 2022-08-11 | miss | -0.67 | -2.08 | -208.2% | -4.6% | +12.0% | +4.8% |
| 2022-05-13 | miss | -3.25 | -3.50 | -7.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2022-03-31 | miss | -3.92 | -11.25 | -187.2% | -6.5% | +3.2% | +6.5% |
| 2021-11-15 | beat | -4.06 | -3.52 | +13.4% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -15.2% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | -4.08 | -4.00 | +2.0% | +0.8% | -3.1% | +0.0% |
| 2021-05-17 | beat | -4.50 | -4.25 | +5.6% | -0.7% | +14.7% | +9.6% |
| 2021-03-24 | miss | -2.50 | -4.25 | -70.0% | -1.1% | +5.6% | +4.5% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -3.25 | -2.00 | +38.5% | -0.9% | +7.5% | +19.6% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -4.12 | -3.50 | +15.2% | +0.7% | -2.7% | -8.7% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | -5.25 | -4.11 | +21.7% | -1.2% | -4.1% | +32.1% |
| 2020-03-16 | miss | -6.83 | -7.50 | -9.8% | +10.3% | +40.7% | +42.8% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -9.08 | -8.75 | +3.7% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +6.1% |
| 2019-08-09 | miss | -8.94 | -12.25 | -37.0% | -6.1% | -0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2019-05-10 | miss | -8.22 | -9.75 | -18.6% | -3.0% | -8.2% | -4.4% |
| 2019-03-18 | miss | -10.30 | -10.50 | -2.0% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -7.7% |
| 2018-11-09 | miss | -6.59 | -8.50 | -29.1% | -4.4% | -17.6% | -18.9% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -5.17 | -6.25 | -20.8% | -1.7% | -6.2% | -8.9% |
| 2018-05-10 | beat | -4.77 | -4.50 | +5.6% | -0.8% | +4.2% | +0.2% |
| 2018-03-16 | miss | -3.63 | -4.75 | -30.9% | -2.6% | -8.9% | -2.0% |
| 2017-11-14 | beat | -4.80 | -3.25 | +32.3% | +0.7% | +10.9% | +7.0% |
| 2017-08-14 | miss | -3.42 | -5.25 | -53.7% | -2.7% | +9.5% | +6.1% |
| 2017-05-15 | beat | -3.50 | -3.25 | +7.1% | +0.8% | -0.8% | -4.8% |
| 2017-03-30 | miss | -3.37 | -4.75 | -40.7% | -3.0% | +0.0% | +1.0% |
| 2016-11-14 | beat | -4.42 | -2.00 | +54.7% | +1.4% | -2.7% | -6.1% |
| 2016-08-15 | miss | -3.50 | -5.00 | -42.9% | +0.8% | +0.5% | +9.5% |
| 2016-05-16 | miss | -2.62 | -4.25 | -61.9% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +10.8% |
| 2016-03-30 | beat | -2.75 | -1.75 | +36.4% | +0.4% | -3.8% | +3.4% |
| 2015-11-17 | miss | -2.75 | -4.75 | -72.7% | -0.5% | +1.8% | +14.7% |
| 2015-08-14 | miss | -2.12 | -4.00 | -88.2% | -1.2% | -5.0% | -14.2% |
| 2012-11-14 | beat | -100.00 | -75.00 | +25.0% | -3.8% | -3.8% | -3.8% |
| 2012-08-14 | miss | -87.50 | -106.62 | -21.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -8.2% |
| 2012-05-15 | beat | -100.00 | -67.12 | +32.9% | -3.4% | -27.3% | -30.7% |
| 2012-03-23 | miss | -162.50 | -242.75 | -49.4% | -0.9% | +5.5% | +3.7% |
| 2011-11-14 | beat | -187.50 | -76.25 | +59.3% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2011-08-15 | beat | -225.00 | -112.50 | +50.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -2.8% |
| 2011-05-16 | beat | -187.50 | -150.00 | +20.0% | -2.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2011-03-31 | miss | -250.00 | -335.12 | -34.0% | +0.5% | +0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2010-03-23 | miss | -262.50 | -962.50 | -266.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -2.7% |
| 2009-11-16 | miss | -287.50 | -462.50 | -60.9% | +0.3% | -3.8% | -1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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