ABModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+2.1%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -3.4% median,
44% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.09 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$13M/day volume
45% volatility
-9% 1-year
-87% from ATH
52-week range · 36% of the way up · -23% from the high
$3.50$5.45
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-16 (Monday, before open, in 14 days) · EPS est. -0.05.
1-day std dev
6.5%
Finished up
37%
Biggest pop
+19.3%
Biggest drop
-21.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -54.8% | -1.7% | -1.7% | +6.6% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | -0.05 | 1.19 | +2270.6% | +4.2% | +0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2026-03-23 | beat | -0.05 | -0.01 | +75.0% | +2.8% | +4.2% | +1.4% |
| 2025-11-13 | miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -21.8% | -1.2% | -5.8% | -13.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | -0.09 | 0.01 | +115.2% | +0.9% | +1.8% | -1.2% |
| 2025-05-14 | miss | -0.15 | -0.18 | -18.1% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -0.6% |
| 2025-03-27 | beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +14.5% | +0.0% | -2.4% | +4.8% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | -0.13 | -0.14 | -6.9% | -2.8% | -1.0% | -7.8% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | -0.13 | -0.15 | -16.9% | -3.4% | +1.1% | -4.5% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | -0.15 | -0.14 | +10.5% | -1.9% | -0.4% | +9.3% |
| 2024-02-29 | miss | -0.16 | -0.16 | -1.8% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -6.2% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | -0.15 | -0.16 | -10.1% | -3.7% | -1.6% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +7.4% | +2.4% | -1.0% | -1.0% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +24.6% | -0.4% | +1.6% | +2.0% |
| 2023-03-02 | miss | -0.18 | -0.19 | -3.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.7% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +9.7% | -4.9% | -0.8% | +9.8% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +16.8% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +0.4% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -0.20 | -0.14 | +28.0% | +4.0% | +2.4% | -17.3% |
| 2022-03-03 | beat | -0.25 | -0.19 | +24.9% | +0.0% | -4.5% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -0.29 | -0.30 | -1.6% | +1.3% | +0.8% | -9.9% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -0.29 | -0.29 | -0.2% | +1.1% | +10.1% | +10.1% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | -0.30 | -0.26 | +13.6% | -3.3% | -11.1% | -18.3% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | -0.29 | -0.29 | +0.3% | -1.9% | -13.7% | +4.4% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -0.30 | -0.35 | -19.9% | -6.2% | -6.2% | +16.0% |
| 2020-08-07 | miss | -0.31 | -0.33 | -5.8% | -10.5% | -13.0% | -20.6% |
| 2020-05-11 | beat | -0.59 | -0.35 | +40.5% | +2.8% | +14.6% | +60.4% |
| 2020-03-05 | miss | -0.32 | -0.53 | -64.5% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -23.8% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | -0.39 | -0.51 | -33.1% | -2.7% | -2.7% | +2.0% |
| 2019-08-05 | miss | -0.48 | -0.61 | -25.8% | +2.5% | -1.8% | -7.4% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | -0.40 | -0.63 | -56.9% | -3.0% | -6.1% | -9.9% |
| 2019-03-07 | beat | -0.56 | -0.50 | +10.8% | +3.2% | -8.0% | -4.7% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -0.54 | -0.39 | +27.4% | +0.0% | +9.1% | -7.5% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | -0.53 | -0.57 | -9.0% | -4.0% | -21.9% | -23.5% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | -0.53 | -0.46 | +12.2% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +9.4% |
| 2018-03-14 | beat | -0.48 | -0.45 | +4.9% | +8.0% | -7.1% | -15.9% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | -0.44 | -0.27 | +39.4% | +2.8% | +19.3% | +12.8% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | -0.53 | -0.41 | +21.1% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +5.9% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | -0.51 | -0.40 | +22.4% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2017-03-21 | beat | -0.51 | -0.34 | +32.7% | +0.0% | -4.5% | -3.0% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | -0.57 | -0.42 | +26.8% | -3.3% | -3.3% | -8.2% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | -0.46 | -0.63 | -36.4% | -9.6% | -8.0% | -13.0% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | -0.52 | -0.24 | +52.8% | -11.6% | -2.8% | -9.7% |
| 2016-03-09 | beat | -0.49 | 0.52 | +205.0% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -6.8% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | -0.38 | -0.41 | -6.8% | -1.7% | +2.8% | -3.1% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | -0.31 | -0.26 | +14.3% | -2.7% | -3.7% | -13.4% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | -0.50 | -0.43 | +13.4% | -1.9% | -3.8% | -4.0% |
| 2015-03-13 | miss | -0.34 | -0.35 | -1.0% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +2.4% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | -0.28 | -0.44 | -57.6% | +7.3% | +6.3% | +4.1% |
| 2014-08-13 | beat | -0.28 | -0.01 | +95.3% | -8.1% | -11.3% | -1.2% |
| 2014-05-14 | miss | 0.41 | -0.24 | -158.2% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -11.9% |
| 2014-03-06 | miss | 0.01 | -0.16 | -1745.1% | +6.6% | +8.3% | +2.4% |
| 2013-11-13 | miss | 0.03 | -0.42 | -1500.0% | +1.0% | +5.3% | +2.0% |
| 2012-08-14 | miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -9.1% | +3.0% | +3.0% | -4.9% |
| 2012-05-15 | miss | -0.17 | -0.20 | -19.7% | +2.0% | +4.6% | +0.0% |
| 2012-03-27 | — | -0.15 | — | +6.6% | -2.7% | +2.3% | |
| 2011-11-08 | beat | -0.30 | -0.12 | +60.0% | -4.7% | -2.9% | +0.0% |
| 2011-08-11 | miss | -0.30 | -0.33 | -10.0% | +3.5% | +1.3% | -10.8% |
| 2011-05-10 | beat | -0.36 | -0.30 | +16.7% | +0.0% | -4.1% | -6.1% |
| 2011-03-30 | beat | -0.25 | -0.11 | +56.0% | +2.3% | +1.3% | -2.6% |
| 2010-11-15 | beat | -0.04 | 0.31 | +875.0% | -1.8% | -0.7% | -23.6% |
Not investment advice.
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