ACModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.5%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -5.3% median,
43% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 61
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.67 +1.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$32M/day volume
39% volatility
-9% 1-year
-65% from ATH
52-week range · 17% of the way up · -34% from the high
$18.39$30.96
Congressional trades in ACAD Full tracker →
2 members · 0 buys / 3 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Jul 28, 2022.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.18.
1-day std dev
7.9%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+16.7%
Biggest drop
-20.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 0.04 | 0.18 | +317.2% | +3.0% | +6.1% | +8.5% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | 0.08 | 0.02 | -75.2% | +1.9% | +5.0% | +2.8% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -4.2% | -5.3% | -1.3% | -10.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.15 | 0.42 | +189.0% | +5.6% | -3.0% | +5.9% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +15.3% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +3.1% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +4.5% | -0.6% | +14.3% | +18.8% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 0.22 | 0.86 | +292.6% | +2.3% | +1.8% | -7.3% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +41.2% | -0.6% | +8.9% | +7.8% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +13.9% | -18.3% | -19.5% | -19.7% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +67.0% | +2.2% | -11.2% | -13.3% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | 0.31 | 0.28 | -9.5% | -6.5% | -9.9% | -12.0% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.42 | -0.40 | +5.4% | +4.4% | +4.7% | -3.4% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | -0.12 | 0.01 | +108.6% | -4.2% | -6.8% | -8.7% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | -0.21 | -0.27 | -28.7% | +0.2% | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2023-02-27 | miss | -0.25 | -0.26 | -3.8% | +2.3% | +6.6% | +4.9% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | -0.20 | -0.17 | +13.0% | -2.8% | -7.0% | +3.1% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | -0.25 | -0.21 | +14.9% | -0.1% | -2.4% | +2.0% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | -0.60 | -0.70 | -17.2% | -1.9% | -5.3% | -19.4% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | -0.24 | -0.27 | -14.2% | -4.6% | -1.3% | -7.9% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | -0.26 | -0.09 | +65.1% | +6.5% | +10.2% | +4.5% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -0.30 | -0.27 | +8.7% | -6.6% | -8.6% | -14.3% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | -0.53 | -0.42 | +20.6% | +0.8% | +8.0% | +9.4% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | -0.47 | -0.42 | +11.1% | -0.8% | -2.8% | -5.9% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | -0.38 | -0.54 | -42.3% | -5.6% | -1.2% | +3.0% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.43 | -0.27 | +37.6% | +0.3% | +1.8% | -6.9% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.47 | -0.57 | -22.6% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +3.0% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | -0.36 | -0.34 | +6.7% | -1.8% | -2.8% | +10.4% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | -0.40 | -0.29 | +27.2% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -4.3% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | -0.46 | -0.38 | +17.2% | +6.1% | +16.6% | +19.5% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | -0.53 | -0.59 | -11.8% | -1.9% | +7.8% | +9.8% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | -0.55 | -0.50 | +9.2% | -2.3% | +8.4% | +8.9% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | -0.58 | -0.50 | +13.2% | +5.1% | -8.6% | -19.9% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | -0.45 | -0.51 | -13.6% | -8.7% | -0.8% | -5.1% |
| 2018-05-04 | beat | -0.56 | -0.44 | +21.4% | +9.1% | +11.0% | +15.6% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | -0.57 | -0.55 | +3.5% | -10.9% | -20.0% | -18.5% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.63 | -0.53 | +15.3% | +3.3% | -9.4% | -17.3% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -0.72 | -0.55 | +24.0% | +10.9% | +12.4% | +6.3% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.72 | -0.72 | -0.0% | -7.0% | -9.9% | -16.1% |
| 2017-02-28 | miss | -0.63 | -0.65 | -2.6% | +0.0% | -3.9% | -4.1% |
| 2016-11-07 | miss | -0.57 | -0.61 | -6.5% | +12.9% | +16.7% | +23.8% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | -0.47 | -0.63 | -33.8% | -2.5% | +0.0% | -14.0% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | -0.42 | -0.45 | -8.2% | +3.6% | +2.2% | +3.9% |
| 2016-02-29 | miss | -0.41 | -0.45 | -9.3% | -0.1% | -7.8% | +16.2% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | -0.39 | -0.39 | +1.2% | -0.9% | -11.5% | -15.6% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | -0.33 | -0.39 | -19.3% | -4.7% | -13.3% | -16.1% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | -0.26 | -0.40 | -51.1% | +1.9% | +3.8% | +7.1% |
| 2015-02-26 | miss | -0.26 | -0.28 | -8.9% | -2.4% | +0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -0.22 | -0.25 | -14.5% | -5.8% | -2.5% | -1.5% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | -0.19 | -0.22 | -13.4% | -2.4% | +2.7% | +7.7% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | -0.14 | -0.19 | -35.7% | -1.2% | -3.4% | -1.5% |
| 2014-02-27 | beat | -0.13 | -0.13 | +1.3% | -3.0% | -6.0% | -9.6% |
| 2013-11-06 | beat | -0.12 | -0.12 | +1.0% | +1.3% | -0.5% | +9.2% |
| 2013-08-06 | miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -32.0% | -3.5% | -1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | -0.08 | -0.08 | +3.5% | +0.6% | -3.2% | +8.5% |
| 2013-03-12 | miss | -0.09 | -0.11 | -23.9% | -0.5% | -3.5% | +5.4% |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +41.2% | +5.7% | +6.6% | -7.0% |
| 2012-08-08 | beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +16.7% | +1.3% | +0.7% | +10.7% |
| 2012-05-08 | miss | -0.10 | -0.12 | -14.3% | -2.6% | -2.6% | +1.3% |
| 2012-03-06 | beat | -0.10 | -0.10 | +3.2% | +0.0% | +6.1% | +34.5% |
| 2011-11-09 | -0.10 | -0.10 | — | +0.0% | -5.8% | -14.2% |
Not investment advice.
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