ACModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+2.6%
Next 1 month
+6.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +6.2% median,
68% of the last 25 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 6
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.90 +7.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$37M/day volume
70% volatility
+20% 1-year
-50% from ATH
52-week range · 22% of the way up · -48% from the high
$73.60$193.78
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.11.
1-day std dev
8.0%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+14.1%
Biggest drop
-22.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.89 | 1.06 | +18.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +4.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.4% | -0.9% | +2.8% | -2.2% |
| 2026-02-17 | beat | 1.12 | 1.49 | +33.3% | -19.5% | -16.7% | -18.8% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 1.00 | 1.21 | +20.6% | +8.1% | -2.7% | +3.4% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.71 | 1.13 | +59.1% | +12.9% | +10.1% | +14.7% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.38 | 1.04 | +171.3% | +8.0% | +5.0% | +20.7% |
| 2025-02-10 | beat | 1.25 | 1.54 | +23.2% | -8.5% | -12.3% | -5.9% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 1.43 | 1.49 | +4.2% | +0.6% | -1.0% | -10.3% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 1.35 | 1.55 | +15.2% | -10.0% | -10.7% | -9.1% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 1.24 | 1.57 | +26.4% | -0.4% | +4.9% | +11.2% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 2.08 | 2.15 | +3.6% | -10.7% | -7.0% | -9.3% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 1.73 | 1.99 | +14.9% | +5.1% | +0.4% | -2.3% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 1.51 | 1.86 | +23.6% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -7.9% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 1.30 | 1.43 | +9.8% | -0.4% | -7.4% | +2.1% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 1.51 | 1.71 | +13.1% | +0.6% | +5.8% | +8.3% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 1.15 | 1.21 | +5.0% | +0.3% | +4.3% | +30.9% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 1.04 | 1.32 | +26.5% | +3.6% | +8.1% | -2.8% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.97 | 1.22 | +26.4% | -2.3% | -5.9% | -10.6% |
| 2022-02-07 | beat | 0.87 | 1.05 | +20.2% | +3.6% | +6.4% | +11.3% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.0% | -0.2% | -1.9% | +3.5% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.47 | 0.55 | +18.3% | +12.4% | +12.8% | +12.9% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.33 | 0.48 | +44.0% | +1.8% | -2.1% | -13.0% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.32 | 0.43 | +33.7% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +3.1% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.25 | 0.32 | +27.1% | -0.6% | -4.4% | +2.5% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 0.29 | 0.39 | +35.4% | -4.7% | -13.8% | -11.4% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +1.5% | +11.3% | +12.4% | +8.6% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.29 | +81.2% | +6.6% | +8.1% | +10.3% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | — | 0.02 | +700.0% | +1.7% | +8.9% | +14.1% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | -0.03 | 0.02 | +171.4% | +6.9% | -0.9% | -0.1% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +55.2% | -6.9% | -13.1% | -21.9% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +19.1% | -2.2% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.19 | 0.26 | +38.3% | -13.6% | -3.0% | -8.5% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +13.2% | +7.4% | +1.3% | -6.8% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -1.4% | -4.6% | -7.4% | +0.0% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.39 | 0.47 | +19.8% | +4.5% | -1.6% | +0.2% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.28 | 0.35 | +23.2% | +2.7% | +10.2% | +5.8% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +21.7% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -1.9% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.29 | +33.8% | +4.1% | +9.4% | +7.1% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +30.0% | +5.1% | +4.5% | +0.6% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +55.6% | -5.2% | -16.7% | -4.8% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +166.7% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +7.8% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +166.7% | -2.9% | -5.1% | -9.5% |
| 2016-02-02 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +100.0% | +1.6% | -7.0% | -13.2% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +25.0% | -14.4% | -22.2% | -21.2% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.12 | 0.20 | +62.7% | +10.1% | +10.8% | +11.8% |
| 2015-05-05 | — | 0.06 | — | +8.5% | +6.9% | +20.1% | |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | -0.11 | 0.01 | +104.9% | +1.2% | +3.9% | +9.3% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | -0.15 | -0.09 | +42.4% | -2.1% | -8.2% | -7.7% |
| 2014-08-04 | miss | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.0% | -1.2% | +0.0% | +1.7% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -65.5% | -0.6% | -9.0% | -11.9% |
| 2014-02-04 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -25.0% | -7.9% | -8.3% | -10.8% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | -0.12 | -0.17 | -41.7% | +5.8% | +3.1% | -0.4% |
| 2013-08-01 | beat | -0.20 | -0.13 | +33.6% | -2.3% | -3.6% | -16.3% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | -0.28 | -0.20 | +27.1% | +0.0% | +3.0% | +1.5% |
| 2013-02-04 | miss | -0.28 | -0.32 | -15.7% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -3.7% |
| 2012-11-01 | -0.32 | -0.32 | — | -2.1% | +1.1% | -6.3% | |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | -0.20 | -0.01 | +94.0% | +23.1% | +14.1% | +32.1% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | -0.32 | -0.27 | +16.5% | -0.8% | +3.3% | -2.5% |
| 2012-02-02 | beat | -0.16 | -0.04 | +75.0% | +1.6% | -3.2% | -8.6% |
| 2011-10-25 | — | 0.04 | — | +4.1% | +13.1% | +13.1% |
Not investment advice.
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