ADModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +8.4% median,
83% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.80 +2.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$29M/day volume
54% volatility
-24% 1-year
-54% from ATH
52-week range · 34% of the way up · -43% from the high
$7.21$20.46
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.20.
1-day std dev
10.8%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+30.9%
Biggest drop
-19.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 51 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +3.5% | +4.8% | +8.6% | +1.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -15.2% | -25.3% | -16.0% | -15.7% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +7.8% | +3.6% | -3.2% | +0.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +2.6% | -3.1% | -8.7% | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +7.4% | -14.5% | -9.7% | -8.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.17 | 0.11 | -33.3% | -3.7% | -10.2% | -18.7% |
| 2025-03-03 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -9.3% | -5.9% | +7.5% | +9.6% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +15.4% | +5.3% | +14.7% | -3.4% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +62.5% | +23.9% | +30.9% | +44.0% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +60.0% | +18.3% | +27.1% | +32.9% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +153.3% | +0.0% | -0.4% | +14.5% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +200.0% | +10.5% | +5.8% | +5.2% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | -0.02 | -0.02 | +35.3% | +3.4% | +6.2% | +5.7% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +29.4% | +9.2% | +10.9% | +13.2% |
| 2023-03-23 | beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +18.2% | +5.5% | +6.8% | +6.4% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -9.1% | +12.1% | +27.5% | +28.7% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +12.5% | +0.5% | +5.2% | +18.4% |
| 2022-05-11 | miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -8.7% | +0.0% | +17.5% | +43.4% |
| 2022-03-24 | beat | -0.09 | -0.07 | +25.0% | +1.3% | +8.7% | +26.7% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +8.4% | +7.8% | +13.6% | +4.3% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | -0.15 | -0.14 | +8.3% | +1.3% | -1.3% | -19.6% |
| 2021-05-12 | beat | -0.16 | -0.16 | +3.0% | +1.8% | -3.0% | +5.4% |
| 2021-03-25 | miss | -0.16 | -0.21 | -27.8% | -4.4% | -11.7% | -10.7% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.19 | -0.19 | +2.6% | -4.3% | -9.5% | -9.0% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | -0.16 | -0.23 | -43.8% | -14.3% | -19.8% | -14.9% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.11 | -0.26 | -128.1% | -9.4% | -18.1% | -22.2% |
| 2020-03-12 | miss | -0.18 | -0.18 | -0.9% | +9.6% | -1.4% | +2.7% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.22 | -0.19 | +15.6% | +1.2% | -9.2% | -18.7% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -0.31 | -0.25 | +20.2% | +4.2% | +3.6% | +16.4% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | -0.32 | -0.28 | +11.4% | -2.8% | +3.0% | -15.9% |
| 2019-03-13 | miss | -0.33 | -0.39 | -17.2% | +2.1% | +1.0% | -10.0% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | -0.33 | -0.33 | +0.4% | +1.9% | -8.4% | -10.3% |
| 2018-08-10 | miss | -0.33 | -0.35 | -4.5% | -1.9% | -1.8% | -10.8% |
| 2018-05-14 | miss | -0.31 | -0.39 | -26.8% | -0.6% | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| 2018-03-05 | beat | -0.31 | -0.15 | +51.2% | -0.5% | -2.0% | +9.7% |
| 2017-11-03 | miss | -0.45 | -0.59 | -31.1% | -1.8% | -8.0% | +10.7% |
| 2017-08-11 | miss | -0.22 | -0.55 | -153.8% | -3.1% | +0.7% | -6.1% |
| 2017-05-12 | miss | -0.28 | -0.51 | -80.5% | -5.5% | -1.8% | -15.2% |
| 2017-02-24 | miss | -0.31 | -0.34 | -7.9% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -4.0% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | -0.42 | -0.34 | +19.1% | -0.1% | +13.3% | +0.5% |
| 2016-08-12 | miss | -0.38 | -0.50 | -29.9% | -1.2% | -5.2% | -12.5% |
| 2016-05-13 | beat | -0.45 | -0.43 | +3.7% | +1.7% | +2.9% | +8.1% |
| 2016-03-23 | miss | -0.43 | -0.44 | -2.9% | +1.3% | +17.4% | +35.6% |
| 2015-11-10 | miss | -0.37 | -0.48 | -28.9% | -2.5% | -0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2015-08-11 | beat | -0.38 | -0.37 | +3.3% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +3.7% |
| 2015-05-12 | beat | -0.43 | -0.37 | +14.9% | +2.2% | +6.2% | +11.5% |
| 2015-03-09 | beat | -0.38 | -0.37 | +2.8% | -3.5% | +2.0% | -13.9% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -0.32 | -0.36 | -12.5% | -4.1% | -2.0% | -3.7% |
| 2014-08-11 | beat | -0.52 | -0.43 | +17.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -2.0% |
| 2014-05-12 | miss | -0.55 | -0.64 | -15.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +15.8% |
| 2014-03-28 | miss | -0.52 | -0.54 | -2.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.6% |
Not investment advice.
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