AEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+3.1%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -0.5% median,
48% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.72 +4.5% · Seasonal tilt -1.3%
$91.6B market cap (#312 US)
$298M/day volume
48% volatility
+18% 1-year
-28% from ATH
52-week range · 40% of the way up · -28% from the high
$134.38$255.24
Congressional trades in AEM Full tracker →
2 members · 0 buys / 3 sells · $17K–$80K disclosed · latest filing Jul 3, 2016.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-11 (Thursday, after close, in 105 days) · EPS est. 2.52.
1-day std dev
5.7%
Finished up
59%
Biggest pop
+18.0%
Biggest drop
-15.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | 2.56 | 2.61 | +2.0% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 2.91 | 3.05 | +4.8% | +1.5% | +4.4% | +16.3% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 3.21 | 3.40 | +5.9% | -1.0% | -2.5% | +2.7% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | 2.65 | 2.70 | +1.9% | +1.5% | +5.5% | +17.2% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 1.96 | 2.16 | +10.0% | +0.4% | +3.7% | +1.6% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 1.80 | 1.94 | +7.5% | +1.6% | +0.8% | +10.1% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 1.38 | 1.53 | +10.7% | -2.2% | -0.9% | -7.1% |
| 2025-02-13 | beat | 1.17 | 1.26 | +7.6% | -1.8% | -4.9% | -3.3% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 1.02 | 1.14 | +11.5% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -3.1% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.91 | 1.07 | +17.7% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -4.7% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 0.60 | 0.76 | +26.6% | +3.1% | +0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2024-02-15 | beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +15.4% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +4.8% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +5.9% | -0.1% | -2.9% | -2.5% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +16.6% | +0.9% | -3.1% | -7.4% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 0.49 | 0.58 | +19.4% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +5.7% |
| 2023-02-16 | miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.9% | -5.1% | -6.2% | -6.8% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 0.43 | 0.52 | +20.6% | -1.2% | +0.3% | -8.3% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.60 | 0.76 | +26.8% | +9.5% | +6.3% | +10.8% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.38 | 0.61 | +59.6% | +3.6% | +4.3% | +2.7% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | 0.55 | 0.46 | -16.9% | +1.3% | -5.1% | -3.6% |
| 2021-10-27 | miss | 0.60 | 0.60 | -0.2% | -0.3% | -2.3% | -8.0% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.59 | 0.69 | +16.4% | +2.7% | +4.9% | +0.2% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.60 | 0.67 | +12.4% | +0.1% | -1.9% | +8.7% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +3.2% | -2.1% | -6.1% | -12.3% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.69 | 0.78 | +13.6% | -0.2% | +3.3% | +9.1% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +9.3% | -2.4% | +2.8% | +14.7% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +13.4% | -1.6% | +4.3% | +12.3% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +5.7% | -11.7% | -15.6% | -10.8% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +37.5% | +2.4% | +6.4% | +13.6% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 0.03 | 0.10 | +268.9% | -0.5% | +0.2% | +1.4% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +140.4% | +2.9% | +4.1% | +1.1% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 0.02 | 0.14 | +530.6% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +3.3% |
| 2018-10-24 | beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +127.4% | +1.4% | -3.5% | +1.0% |
| 2018-07-25 | miss | 0.08 | 0.01 | -87.6% | -1.7% | -5.3% | -7.9% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | 0.17 | 0.15 | -12.3% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -2.1% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +8.7% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -10.8% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.17 | 0.29 | +71.8% | +4.0% | +3.4% | +0.2% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.16 | 0.24 | +49.7% | +2.4% | -0.3% | -3.7% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.12 | 0.28 | +139.8% | +2.6% | +10.0% | +7.3% |
| 2017-02-15 | miss | 0.09 | 0.04 | -54.6% | -2.6% | -4.7% | -8.3% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +37.0% | +1.0% | +0.8% | +7.2% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.10 | 0.16 | +62.9% | +2.3% | +3.4% | +9.3% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.02 | 0.12 | +385.4% | +2.2% | +9.2% | +6.5% |
| 2016-02-10 | miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -2.1% | +6.0% | +6.1% | +4.0% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.04 | 0.18 | +358.8% | +2.5% | +1.1% | -5.0% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +0.7% | -2.1% | -7.4% | -6.2% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +34.7% | +2.6% | +4.7% | +4.6% |
| 2015-02-11 | beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +247.4% | +4.0% | +5.7% | -1.3% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +33.0% | -1.9% | -4.8% | -24.7% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -1.4% | -2.5% | -8.8% | -5.1% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.24 | 0.60 | +145.2% | +5.4% | +9.2% | +9.9% |
| 2014-02-12 | beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +29.0% | -2.1% | +1.8% | +4.3% |
| 2013-10-23 | beat | 0.08 | 0.35 | +312.6% | +9.8% | +18.0% | +14.2% |
| 2013-07-24 | miss | 0.07 | -0.03 | -140.4% | -0.6% | -0.4% | -2.4% |
| 2013-04-25 | miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.7% | +0.0% | -6.0% | -4.4% |
| 2013-02-13 | miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -7.0% | +0.7% | -1.0% | -8.9% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 0.40 | 0.77 | +94.9% | +4.8% | +9.1% | +4.6% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.31 | 0.40 | +30.3% | +6.9% | +8.1% | +11.7% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.36 | 0.59 | +63.6% | +5.9% | +9.8% | +6.7% |
| 2012-02-15 | miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -3.3% | -6.0% | +7.0% | +7.9% |
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TRACKER - Fast Money Final Trades · CNBC
long
183.54
Thu, 01 Oct
Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Fast Money. The call: on 1 October 2026. The price: The price on this post is AEM at the moment the post went up,…
Not investment advice.
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