AEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.2%
Next 1 month
+2.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.4% median,
68% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.96 +2.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$29.3B market cap (#600 US)
$165M/day volume
26% volatility
+21% 1-year
-1% from ATH
52-week range · 96% of the way up · -1% from the high
$129.42$159.99
Congressional trades in AER Full tracker →
3 members · 5 buys / 1 sells · $48K–$195K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
3.3%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+8.8%
Biggest drop
-8.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | 4.56 | 6.56 | +44.0% | +2.8% | +3.6% | — |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 4.14 | 5.14 | +24.0% | +0.6% | -3.5% | +0.7% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 3.71 | 5.39 | +45.3% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +10.2% |
| 2026-02-06 | beat | 3.40 | 3.95 | +16.1% | +0.3% | -2.7% | +4.5% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 3.08 | 4.97 | +61.3% | +5.4% | +8.8% | +10.4% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 2.68 | 2.83 | +5.6% | -0.2% | -3.2% | -3.4% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 2.80 | 3.68 | +31.6% | +2.3% | +0.2% | +2.1% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 2.57 | 3.31 | +28.7% | +3.4% | +0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 2.42 | 2.41 | -0.5% | -6.9% | -1.9% | +3.4% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 2.34 | 3.01 | +28.5% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 2.39 | 3.29 | +37.9% | +1.8% | +1.2% | +6.7% |
| 2024-02-23 | beat | 2.45 | 3.11 | +26.7% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -1.6% |
| 2023-10-27 | beat | 2.39 | 2.81 | +17.7% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +10.0% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | 2.06 | 2.56 | +24.3% | +1.7% | -3.1% | -1.6% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 2.03 | 2.34 | +15.6% | +0.5% | -0.6% | -1.2% |
| 2023-03-02 | beat | 1.96 | 2.66 | +35.4% | +4.2% | +3.7% | -9.2% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 1.39 | 2.21 | +59.0% | +7.9% | +4.5% | +13.7% |
| 2022-08-11 | beat | 1.42 | 1.91 | +34.7% | +5.4% | +1.5% | +2.2% |
| 2022-05-17 | beat | 1.56 | 2.23 | +43.0% | +5.2% | +6.2% | +1.0% |
| 2022-03-30 | miss | 1.61 | 1.04 | -35.6% | -11.3% | -8.4% | -13.6% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | 3.47 | 4.04 | +16.4% | +0.5% | -1.1% | -7.9% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 1.06 | 2.39 | +125.5% | +2.0% | +1.8% | +3.8% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 1.20 | 1.93 | +60.8% | +0.8% | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2021-03-02 | beat | 0.88 | 1.02 | +16.2% | +0.7% | -1.4% | +18.2% |
| 2020-11-10 | beat | 0.50 | 1.24 | +146.2% | -6.5% | -2.1% | +13.7% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 1.40 | 2.34 | +67.0% | +5.1% | +7.9% | +15.9% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | 1.90 | 1.88 | -1.1% | +10.0% | +2.5% | -0.4% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 1.96 | 2.24 | +14.2% | +4.4% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2019-11-08 | beat | 1.90 | 2.03 | +7.0% | -0.2% | +1.5% | +0.6% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 1.68 | 2.09 | +24.8% | +4.2% | +8.2% | +4.0% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 1.61 | 1.58 | -1.6% | +1.7% | +4.3% | +1.9% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 1.60 | 1.95 | +22.2% | +0.6% | +0.4% | -2.4% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 1.62 | 1.93 | +18.6% | -0.6% | +1.5% | +3.6% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 1.48 | 1.69 | +14.3% | +0.2% | -1.2% | +1.3% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | 1.61 | 1.50 | -6.5% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +6.1% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | 1.38 | 1.64 | +18.8% | +2.6% | +2.0% | -0.9% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 1.61 | 1.87 | +16.3% | +2.2% | +0.3% | -1.9% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 1.50 | 1.90 | +26.1% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +0.1% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | 1.46 | 1.42 | -3.2% | +2.1% | +2.1% | -0.7% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | 1.69 | 2.18 | +29.3% | +3.1% | +2.2% | -2.9% |
| 2016-11-08 | beat | 1.46 | 1.68 | +15.4% | +1.4% | +0.6% | +6.6% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | 1.47 | 1.53 | +4.0% | +0.1% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2016-05-12 | beat | 1.50 | 1.53 | +2.0% | +2.4% | -8.5% | -9.0% |
| 2016-02-23 | miss | 1.49 | 1.42 | -4.8% | -2.7% | -0.7% | +9.8% |
| 2015-11-10 | beat | 1.50 | 1.65 | +9.6% | +2.0% | -2.2% | +0.8% |
| 2015-08-11 | beat | 1.33 | 1.71 | +28.1% | +1.7% | -1.7% | -0.4% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | 1.27 | 1.42 | +12.1% | +0.4% | -1.8% | -0.6% |
| 2015-02-23 | beat | 1.31 | 1.49 | +13.5% | +4.1% | +3.6% | -1.1% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 1.18 | 1.49 | +26.4% | +4.1% | +3.1% | +2.0% |
| 2014-08-12 | beat | 0.84 | 1.29 | +52.8% | +2.6% | +3.2% | +10.7% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.2% | +0.0% | +4.2% | +7.8% |
| 2014-02-20 | miss | 0.67 | 0.66 | -0.9% | -5.7% | +2.0% | +9.7% |
| 2013-11-04 | beat | 0.62 | 0.79 | +27.4% | +4.1% | +6.1% | +3.2% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +9.0% | +2.3% | +0.1% | +4.7% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | 0.53 | 0.60 | +12.5% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +4.6% |
| 2013-02-20 | beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +18.7% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +3.6% |
| 2012-11-07 | miss | 0.48 | 0.48 | -0.4% | -1.5% | -0.7% | -3.3% |
| 2012-08-07 | miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -0.6% | -3.2% | -1.9% | +3.5% |
| 2012-05-08 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.3% | -0.5% | +2.0% | +2.4% |
| 2012-02-22 | beat | 0.47 | 0.56 | +18.5% | +0.1% | +3.5% | -0.2% |
Not investment advice.
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