AEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 54
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.82 +2.4%
$38M/day volume
66% volatility
-11% 1-year
-66% from ATH
52-week range · 13% of the way up · -54% from the high
$7.64$20.13
Congressional trades in AESI Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 3 sells · $5.6M–$26.2M disclosed · latest filing Jun 10, 2026.
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $5.0M–$25.0M | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. -0.24.
1-day std dev
7.5%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+8.4%
Biggest drop
-15.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 14 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | miss | -0.09 | -0.17 | -88.7% | -9.3% | +0.0% | +9.6% |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | -0.20 | -0.36 | -84.4% | -0.5% | +8.3% | +3.0% |
| 2026-02-23 | miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -9.3% | +4.5% | -5.7% | -9.9% |
| 2025-11-03 | miss | -0.02 | -0.18 | -821.0% | -14.2% | -15.9% | -19.5% |
| 2025-08-04 | miss | 0.11 | -0.01 | -105.2% | +1.9% | +1.4% | -4.6% |
| 2025-05-05 | miss | 0.18 | 0.03 | -81.4% | -4.4% | -10.6% | -5.0% |
| 2025-02-24 | miss | 0.17 | 0.07 | -62.1% | +0.6% | -5.7% | -13.3% |
| 2024-10-28 | miss | 0.23 | 0.18 | -22.1% | +4.3% | +1.7% | +0.8% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | 0.35 | 0.18 | -47.0% | +1.7% | +5.6% | +7.7% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | 0.36 | 0.34 | -6.7% | -6.6% | +4.3% | +2.8% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | 0.56 | 0.36 | -34.8% | -0.1% | +8.1% | +10.5% |
| 2023-10-30 | miss | 0.65 | 0.56 | -13.5% | -4.4% | -5.6% | -5.5% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | 0.66 | 0.69 | +4.0% | +5.1% | +8.4% | +5.6% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 0.67 | 0.98 | +46.2% | +0.6% | +3.0% | +2.7% |
Posted about AESI
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TRACKER - Chip Roy · Congress
long
18.28
Tue, 12 May
Chip Roy's trade date was 30 March 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $100,001–$250,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size band,…
TRACKER - Chip Roy · Congress
long
18.84
Mon, 11 May
Chip Roy's trade date was 30 April 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $5,000,001–$25,000,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
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