AEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+4.7%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -9.3% median,
25% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 62
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.63%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.99 +5.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$3M/day volume
87% volatility
-8% 1-year
-83% from ATH
52-week range · 70% of the way up · -20% from the high
$5.31$16.39
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-03-04 (Thursday, after close, in 124 days) · EPS est. 0.33.
1-day std dev
16.3%
Finished up
41%
Biggest pop
+38.2%
Biggest drop
-26.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 32 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +11.1% | +9.2% | +36.7% | — |
| 2026-08-13 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +8.2% | +6.5% | +37.5% | +23.9% |
| 2026-03-05 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +6.8% | -6.4% | -22.4% | -27.3% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +7.0% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -11.4% |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.15 | 0.15 | — | -5.4% | -13.4% | -6.7% | |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +1.7% | -20.6% | -9.4% | -6.3% |
| 2025-03-12 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +1.4% | -12.9% | -13.7% | -9.6% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +11.6% | +0.6% | +17.4% | -5.6% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +24.1% | +12.5% | +38.2% | +14.7% |
| 2024-04-23 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +45.5% | +20.0% | +7.0% | +14.8% |
| 2024-03-06 | beat | 0.03 | 0.11 | +340.0% | +21.2% | +17.3% | +20.2% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +300.0% | +2.6% | +5.7% | -9.2% |
| 2023-08-10 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | -8.0% | -14.0% | -18.2% | |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | -0.02 | — | +100.0% | -4.3% | -4.6% | -9.7% |
| 2023-03-09 | 0.01 | 0.01 | — | +5.1% | -1.5% | +6.6% | |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +150.0% | -5.2% | -2.2% | -5.0% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | -0.13 | -0.02 | +84.6% | +7.4% | +8.0% | +12.8% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -0.20 | -0.12 | +40.0% | +1.8% | +2.9% | -7.1% |
| 2022-03-10 | beat | -0.17 | -0.16 | +5.9% | +3.3% | -3.2% | +32.6% |
| 2021-11-11 | miss | -0.17 | -0.24 | -41.2% | -1.9% | -12.0% | -22.1% |
| 2021-08-11 | beat | -0.18 | -0.13 | +29.7% | -24.9% | -26.9% | -11.4% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -0.15 | -0.09 | +41.9% | -0.1% | -10.7% | +0.2% |
| 2021-03-11 | beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +30.8% | +0.0% | -2.6% | +12.2% |
| 2020-11-13 | beat | -0.30 | -0.02 | +92.8% | -7.1% | -8.6% | -11.4% |
| 2020-08-13 | beat | -0.13 | -0.08 | +34.6% | -0.6% | -0.4% | +56.5% |
| 2020-05-14 | beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +11.1% | +5.0% | -11.7% | -14.5% |
| 2020-03-23 | beat | -0.27 | -0.14 | +47.1% | +4.3% | +17.1% | +20.3% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | -0.25 | -0.23 | +6.4% | +4.4% | +14.3% | +69.0% |
| 2019-08-14 | miss | -0.18 | -0.27 | -46.0% | -0.7% | -18.2% | -28.5% |
| 2019-05-14 | miss | -0.12 | -0.28 | -133.3% | -4.5% | -9.3% | -19.7% |
| 2019-03-27 | miss | -0.11 | -0.16 | -41.8% | -2.4% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2018-11-14 | beat | -0.18 | -0.18 | +2.7% | -0.5% | +2.7% | +1.2% |
Not investment advice.
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